Topbuild Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BLD Stock | USD 373.05 11.80 3.27% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Topbuild Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Topbuild Corp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLD positions.
Check out Topbuild Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Topbuild Stock refer to our How to Trade Topbuild Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Topbuild and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Topbuild Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Topbuild |
Execute Topbuild Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Topbuild recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Topbuild Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Topbuild Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Topbuild Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Topbuild Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Topbuild Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Topbuild Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Topbuild Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: TopBuild Corp Trading 3.92 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Topbuild Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Topbuild Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Topbuild Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Topbuild Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Topbuild Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Topbuild Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Topbuild Corp.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.89 | Potential Upside | 4.30 | Standard Deviation | 2.34 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Topbuild Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Topbuild Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Findlay Park Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 564.2 K | Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main | 2024-06-30 | 438.3 K | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 433.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 417.5 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 377.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 373.4 K | Liontrust Investment Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 332.1 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 262 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 253 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.2 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 3 M |
Topbuild Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 17.4M | (11.8M) | (46.5M) | (93.9M) | 74.5M | 78.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 83.9M | 145.2M | (190.2M) | 100.3M | 608.5M | 638.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 226.2M | 316.9M | 347.5M | 419.4M | 785.4M | 824.7M | |
| Depreciation | 52.7M | 62.4M | 79.4M | 123.3M | 132.9M | 139.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 13.7M | 10.1M | 26.3M | 23.3M | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 45.5M | 40.9M | 55.5M | 76.4M | 64.0M | 39.1M | |
| Net Income | 191.0M | 247.0M | 324.0M | 556.0M | 614.3M | 645.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 184.8M | 330.0M | 139.8M | 240.1M | 848.6M | 891.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (12.8M) | (27.2M) | 770.7M | (38.7M) | (44.5M) | (42.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 34.7M | 19.7M | 32.8M | 38.7M | 44.6M | 46.8M | |
| Change Receivables | (27.1M) | 2.6M | (69.0M) | (169.3M) | (152.4M) | (144.8M) | |
| Investments | (50.1M) | (121.9M) | (1.3B) | (93.9M) | (198.2M) | (208.1M) |
Topbuild Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Topbuild Corp or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Topbuild Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Topbuild stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Topbuild Corp Volatility Alert
Topbuild Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.22 and kurtosis of 0.94. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Topbuild Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Topbuild Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Topbuild Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Topbuild Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Topbuild Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Topbuild Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Topbuild Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Topbuild Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Topbuild Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Topbuild Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Topbuild Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.34 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.30 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 749.75 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.28 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.21 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.19 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.49 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.05 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 614.25 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 240.07 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.57 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.95 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.69 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 72.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 849.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.25 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 19.77 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 444.36 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14.01 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.79 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.01 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.37 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.28 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 480.36 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Viselli Joey M of 665 shares of Topbuild Corp at 383.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Topbuild Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Topbuild . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Topbuild Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Topbuild Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Topbuild Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Topbuild Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Topbuild Stock refer to our How to Trade Topbuild Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Topbuild Corp. If investors know Topbuild will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Topbuild Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.072 | Earnings Share 19.77 | Revenue Per Share 170.633 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 | Return On Assets 0.1175 |
The market value of Topbuild Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Topbuild that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Topbuild Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Topbuild Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Topbuild Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Topbuild Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Topbuild Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Topbuild Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Topbuild Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.