Brightspire Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BRSP Stock  USD 5.64  0.04  0.71%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Brightspire Capital is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Brightspire Capital within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Brightspire Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Brightspire Stock, please use our How to Invest in Brightspire Capital guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Brightspire and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Brightspire Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Brightspire Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Brightspire recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Brightspire Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Brightspire Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Brightspire Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Brightspire CapitalBuy Brightspire Capital
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Brightspire Capital has a Mean Deviation of 1.47, Semi Deviation of 1.58, Standard Deviation of 2.81, Variance of 7.87, Downside Variance of 3.03 and Semi Variance of 2.51
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Brightspire Capital. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Brightspire Capital is not overpriced, please confirm all Brightspire Capital fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Brightspire Capital has a number of shares shorted of 1.22 M, we suggest you to validate Brightspire Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Brightspire Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Brightspire Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 392.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 197.95 M.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of January 2025 Brightspire Capital paid $ 0.16 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BrightSpires Latest Dividend Structure Offers Major Tax Advantage for Income Investors - StockTitan

Brightspire Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Brightspire Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Brightspire Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Brightspire Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Brightspire Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Brightspire Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Brightspire Capital.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-2.3
Potential Upside
2.74
Standard Deviation
2.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Brightspire Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Brightspire Stock Institutional Investors

The Brightspire Capital's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Brightspire Capital's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
1.4 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-09-30
M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
968.4 K
Greenland Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
960 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
916.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
13 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
12.1 M
Note, although Brightspire Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Brightspire Capital Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash344.3M(193.5M)52.3M(36.7M)(33.1M)(31.4M)
Free Cash Flow96.4M(21.3M)125.3M137.6M158.3M117.4M
Other Non Cash Items404.8M52.8M41.1M108.1M124.3M151.3M
Capital Expenditures23.2M9.9M4.0M7.1M6.4M6.0M
Net Income(375.6M)(104.6M)46.8M(15.6M)(14.1M)(14.8M)
End Period Cash Flow540.0M346.6M398.8M362.1M416.4M266.0M
Depreciation59.9M36.5M34.2M33.6M38.7M50.6M
Dividends Paid51.7M51.9M99.4M(104.0M)(93.6M)(88.9M)
Investments237.9M244.5M89.3M596.3M685.7M720.0M
Net Borrowings530.1M(862.2M)701.6M2.9M2.6M2.5M
Change To Netincome465.0M374.9M50.9M(24.8M)(22.3M)(21.2M)

Brightspire Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Brightspire Capital or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Brightspire Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Brightspire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Brightspire Capital Volatility Alert

Brightspire Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.38 and kurtosis of 27.95. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Brightspire Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Brightspire Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Brightspire Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Brightspire Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Brightspire Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Brightspire Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Brightspire Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Brightspire Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brightspire Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Brightspire Capital to competition
FundamentalsBrightspire CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0168-0.14
Profit Margin(0.34) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.65 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding129.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions65.36 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.22 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.22 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.93 X11.42 X
Revenue392.11 M9.43 B
Gross Profit197.95 M27.38 B
EBITDA35.91 M3.9 B
Net Income(15.62 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents317.74 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.74 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio53.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.39 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations137.62 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.91 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.02) X3.12 X
Target Price7.38
Number Of Employees5418.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization731.42 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.2 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.59 B)9.33 B
Working Capital3.13 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.11 %
Note: Acquisition by Andrew Witt of 174217 shares of Brightspire Capital subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Brightspire Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Brightspire . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Brightspire Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Brightspire Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Brightspire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Brightspire Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Brightspire Stock Analysis

When running Brightspire Capital's price analysis, check to measure Brightspire Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brightspire Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Brightspire Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brightspire Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brightspire Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brightspire Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.