Burlington Stores Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BURL Stock  USD 291.66  5.49  1.92%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Burlington Stores is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Burlington Stores' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Burlington Stores Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Burlington and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Burlington Stores. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

The Burlington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Burlington Stores. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Burlington Stores or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Burlington Stores' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Burlington StoresBuy Burlington Stores
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Burlington Stores has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0543, Jensen Alpha of 0.0176, Total Risk Alpha of (0.18), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1453
Macroaxis provides advice on Burlington Stores to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Burlington Stores. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Burlington Stores is not overpriced, please confirm all Burlington Stores fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Burlington Stores has a price to earning of 79.87 X, we suggest you to validate Burlington Stores market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Burlington Stores Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Burlington Stores has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Burlington Stores Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Burlington Stores' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Burlington Stores' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Burlington Stores daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Burlington Stores price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Burlington Stores returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Burlington Stores.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-2.77
Potential Upside
2.72
Standard Deviation
1.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Burlington Stores historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Burlington Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
901 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-09-30
854.4 K
Anomaly Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
788.9 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
786.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
772 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
771.7 K
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
730.5 K
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
643.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.3 M
Note, although Burlington Stores' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Burlington Stores Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory176.4M36.5M(280.2M)(161.0M)94.1M98.8M
Change In Cash275.5M977.2M(289.2M)(218.5M)46.2M68.6M
Free Cash Flow561.4M(54.1M)480.1M145.3M351.5M263.9M
Depreciation210.7M220.4M249.2M270.4M307.1M222.7M
Other Non Cash Items71.4M89.5M212.1M63.5M55.7M67.2M
Capital Expenditures330.3M273.3M353.0M451.1M517.3M293.1M
Net Income465.1M(216.5M)408.8M230.1M339.6M198.4M
End Period Cash Flow409.7M1.4B1.1B879.2M925.4M971.6M
Change To Netincome53.5M88.8M322.6M101.9M117.2M65.1M
Investments(324.6M)(274.1M)(344.4M)(423.1M)(503.7M)(528.9M)

Burlington Stores Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Burlington Stores or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Burlington Stores' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Burlington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.009

Burlington Stores Volatility Alert

Burlington Stores currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Burlington Stores' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Burlington Stores' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Burlington Stores Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Burlington Stores' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Burlington Stores' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Burlington Stores and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Burlington Stores or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Burlington Stores' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burlington Stores by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Burlington Stores to competition
FundamentalsBurlington StoresPeer Average
Return On Equity0.45-0.31
Return On Asset0.0553-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.37 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding63.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.38 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.62 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.01 M4.71 M
Price To Earning79.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book17.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.78 X11.42 X
Revenue9.72 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.52 B27.38 B
EBITDA851.24 M3.9 B
Net Income339.65 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents428.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.8 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations868.74 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.61 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.99 X4.89 X
Target Price312.34
Number Of Employees17.05 K18.84 K
Beta1.65-0.15
Market Capitalization18.22 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings984.06 M9.33 B
Working Capital298.24 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 182 shares by Travis Marquette of Burlington Stores at 264.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Burlington Stores Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Burlington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Burlington Stores? Buying financial instruments such as Burlington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Burlington Stores is a strong investment it is important to analyze Burlington Stores' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Burlington Stores' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Burlington Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Burlington Stores Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. If investors know Burlington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burlington Stores listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.447
Earnings Share
6.61
Revenue Per Share
159.623
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.134
Return On Assets
0.0553
The market value of Burlington Stores is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burlington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burlington Stores' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burlington Stores' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burlington Stores' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burlington Stores' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burlington Stores' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burlington Stores is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burlington Stores' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.