Burlington Stores Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BURL Stock  USD 290.83  2.17  0.75%   
About 57% of Burlington Stores' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of current outlook of investing in Burlington Stores suggests that many traders are alarmed regarding Burlington Stores' prospects. Burlington Stores' investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Burlington Stores.

Comfort Level 43

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Burlington Stores' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Burlington Stores.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Burlington Stores is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Burlington Stores' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Execute Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

The Burlington recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Burlington Stores. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Burlington Stores or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Burlington Stores' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Burlington StoresBuy Burlington Stores
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SoftDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Burlington Stores has a Mean Deviation of 1.83, Semi Deviation of 2.96, Standard Deviation of 2.62, Variance of 6.86, Downside Variance of 9.94 and Semi Variance of 8.76
Macroaxis provides advice on Burlington Stores to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Burlington Stores. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Burlington Stores is not overpriced, please confirm all Burlington Stores fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Burlington Stores has a price to earning of 79.87 X, we suggest you to validate Burlington Stores market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Burlington Stores Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: BURL CONCEPTS ANNOUNCES FIRST HUMAN USES OF FOQUS ULTRASOUND SYSTEM FOR PATENT FORAMEN OVALE DETECTION

Burlington Stores Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Burlington Stores' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Burlington Stores' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Burlington Stores daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Burlington Stores price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Burlington Stores returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Burlington Stores.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-3.49
Potential Upside
4.29
Standard Deviation
2.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Burlington Stores historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Burlington Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2025-06-30
886 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
870.8 K
Hhg Plc2025-06-30
831 K
Anomaly Capital Management, Lp2025-06-30
817.3 K
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
790.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2025-06-30
767.4 K
Dorsal Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
750 K
Norges Bank2025-06-30
738.9 K
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32025-06-30
8.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
6.5 M
Note, although Burlington Stores' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Burlington Stores Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(280.2M)(161.0M)94.1M(162.9M)(146.6M)(139.3M)
Change In Cash(289.2M)(218.5M)46.2M69.3M79.7M69.1M
Free Cash Flow480.1M145.3M351.5M(28.6M)(32.9M)(31.3M)
Depreciation249.2M270.4M307.1M347.6M399.7M233.4M
Other Non Cash Items212.1M63.5M55.7M22.0M25.3M24.1M
Capital Expenditures353.0M451.1M517.3M892.0M1.0B1.1B
Net Income408.8M230.1M339.6M503.6M579.2M608.1M
End Period Cash Flow1.1B879.2M925.4M994.7M1.1B1.2B
Net Borrowings(530.4M)(87.9M)(99.1M)303.2M348.7M366.2M
Change To Netincome53.5M88.8M322.6M101.9M117.2M65.1M
Investments(344.4M)(423.1M)(503.7M)(882.3M)(794.0M)(754.3M)

Burlington Stores Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Burlington Stores or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Burlington Stores' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Burlington stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
2.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Burlington Stores Volatility Alert

Burlington Stores shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Burlington Stores' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Burlington Stores' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Burlington Stores Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Burlington Stores' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Burlington Stores' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Burlington Stores and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Burlington Stores or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Burlington Stores' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burlington Stores by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Burlington Stores to competition
FundamentalsBurlington StoresPeer Average
Return On Equity0.42-0.31
Return On Asset0.0551-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding62.93 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.55 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.59 M4.71 M
Price To Earning79.87 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.62 X11.42 X
Revenue10.63 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.89 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.05 B3.9 B
Net Income503.64 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents428.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.37 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.12 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.57 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations863.38 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.70 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.99 X4.89 X
Target Price339.29
Number Of Employees17.06 K18.84 K
Beta1.75-0.15
Market Capitalization18.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.77 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.49 B9.33 B
Working Capital356.29 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 527 shares by Matthew Pasch of Burlington Stores at 305.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Burlington Stores Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Burlington . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Burlington Stores Target Price Consensus

Burlington target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Burlington Stores' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   21  Strong Buy
Most Burlington analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Burlington stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Burlington Stores, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Burlington Stores Target Price Projection

Burlington Stores' current and average target prices are 290.83 and 339.29, respectively. The current price of Burlington Stores is the price at which Burlington Stores is currently trading. On the other hand, Burlington Stores' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Burlington Stores Market Quote on 29th of January 2026

Low Price288.66Odds
High Price290.83Odds

290.83

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Burlington Stores Target Price

Low Estimate308.75Odds
High Estimate376.61Odds

339.2857

Historical Lowest Forecast  308.75 Target Price  339.29 Highest Forecast  376.61
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Burlington Stores and the information provided on this page.

Burlington Stores Analyst Ratings

Burlington Stores' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Burlington Stores stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Burlington Stores' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Burlington Stores' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Burlington Stores Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Burlington Stores? Buying financial instruments such as Burlington Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Burlington Stores in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Small Value Funds Thematic Idea Now

Small Value Funds
Small Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of small to mid-sized companies. The Small Value Funds theme has 33 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Burlington Stores is a strong investment it is important to analyze Burlington Stores' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Burlington Stores' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Burlington Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Burlington Stores Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. Projected growth potential of Burlington fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Burlington Stores assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.164
Earnings Share
8.7
Revenue Per Share
177.236
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
Return On Assets
0.0551
Understanding Burlington Stores requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Burlington's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Burlington Stores' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Burlington Stores' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Burlington Stores' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Burlington Stores should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Burlington Stores' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.