Caseys General Stores Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CASY Stock  USD 427.88  11.48  2.76%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Caseys General Stores is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Caseys General Stores given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Caseys General. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Caseys General Stores, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Caseys General Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Caseys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Caseys General Stores. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Caseys General Buy or Sell Advice

The Caseys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caseys General Stores. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caseys General Stores or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Caseys General's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Caseys GeneralBuy Caseys General
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Caseys General Stores has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1093, Jensen Alpha of 0.1564, Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0783 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3883
Macroaxis provides advice on Caseys General Stores to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Caseys General Stores. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Caseys General is not overpriced, please confirm all Caseys General Stores fundamentals, including its gross profit, price to earnings to growth, net asset, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and retained earnings . Given that Caseys General Stores has a price to earning of 24.15 X, we suggest you to validate Caseys General Stores market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Caseys General Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Caseys General Stores currently holds 1.75 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Caseys General Stores has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Caseys General's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 88.0% of Caseys General shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2024 Caseys General paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Caseys General Stores Reports Mixed Fiscal First-Quarter Results - MSN

Caseys General Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Caseys General's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Caseys General's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Caseys General daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caseys General Stores price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Caseys General returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Caseys General.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.09
Potential Upside
2.76
Standard Deviation
1.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Caseys General historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Caseys Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Caseys General, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caseys General Stores back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
524.2 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
485.4 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
447.6 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
440.7 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
434.5 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2024-09-30
400.9 K
Congress Asset Management Company, Llp2024-09-30
380.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
368.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
343.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
3.3 M
Note, although Caseys General's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Caseys General Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory37.7M(50.3M)(76.7M)24.1M(51.8M)(49.2M)
Change In Cash15.0M258.3M(177.7M)220.0M(172.4M)(163.8M)
Free Cash Flow65.3M362.8M462.3M405.4M370.9M389.5M
Depreciation251.2M265.2M303.5M313.1M349.8M367.3M
Other Non Cash Items3.5M11.3M1.3M8.7M20.0M21.0M
Capital Expenditures439.0M441.3M326.5M476.6M522.0M548.1M
Net Income263.8M312.9M339.8M446.7M502.0M527.1M
End Period Cash Flow78.3M336.5M158.9M378.9M206.5M216.8M
Dividends Paid46.0M48.0M51.2M55.6M62.9M66.1M
Change To Netincome62.5M45.8M119.5M81.6M93.8M50.0M
Change Receivables(10.6M)(26.3M)(33.0M)(12.5M)(11.3M)(11.8M)
Net Borrowings27.5M(41.7M)261.5M(44.9M)(40.4M)(38.4M)
Investments(466.6M)(444.3M)(1.2B)(545.0M)(825.4M)(866.6M)

Caseys General Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caseys General or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caseys General's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caseys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Caseys General Volatility Alert

Caseys General Stores has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.1 and kurtosis of 3.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caseys General's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caseys General's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Caseys General Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Caseys General's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Caseys General's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Caseys General and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Caseys General or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Caseys General's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caseys General by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Caseys General to competition
FundamentalsCaseys GeneralPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0736-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation16.88 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted887.56 K4.71 M
Price To Earning24.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.03 X11.42 X
Revenue14.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.07 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.07 B3.9 B
Net Income501.97 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents312.36 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.75 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.96 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share85.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations892.95 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share13.73 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.47 X4.89 X
Target Price403.52
Number Of Employees20.93 K18.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization15.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.99 B9.33 B
Working Capital(123.61 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 3501 shares by Thomas Brennan of Caseys General at 377.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Caseys General Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caseys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Caseys General Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Caseys General Stores? Buying financial instruments such as Caseys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Caseys General in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long/short ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Caseys Stock Analysis

When running Caseys General's price analysis, check to measure Caseys General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caseys General is operating at the current time. Most of Caseys General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caseys General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caseys General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caseys General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.