Cracker Barrel Old Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CBRL Stock  USD 47.64  1.27  2.74%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cracker Barrel Old is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cracker Barrel's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Cracker Barrel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cracker and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cracker Barrel Old. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Cracker Barrel Buy or Sell Advice

The Cracker recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cracker Barrel Old. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cracker Barrel Old or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cracker Barrel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cracker BarrelBuy Cracker Barrel
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cracker Barrel Old has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0673, Jensen Alpha of 0.109, Total Risk Alpha of (0.12), Sortino Ratio of 0.0577 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1599
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Cracker Barrel trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Cracker Barrel is not overpriced, please confirm all Cracker Barrel Old fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that Cracker Barrel Old has a price to earning of 56.37 X, we suggest you to validate Cracker Barrel Old market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cracker Barrel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cracker Barrel Old had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cracker Barrel Old currently holds 1.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.35, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Cracker Barrel Old has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cracker Barrel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of Cracker Barrel shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 13th of November 2024 Cracker Barrel paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Latest Cracker Barrel Claims are Further Proof Change is Needed

Cracker Barrel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cracker Barrel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cracker Barrel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cracker Barrel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cracker Barrel Old price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cracker Barrel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cracker Barrel.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-3.92
Potential Upside
5.92
Standard Deviation
3.08
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cracker Barrel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cracker Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
524.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
502.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
323.6 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
300.6 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
297.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
230.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
227.3 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-06-30
223.8 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
198.9 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Note, although Cracker Barrel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cracker Barrel Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory16.1M771K(74.9M)23.9M8.4M8.8M
Change In Cash400.1M(292.4M)(99.5M)(20.0M)(13.1M)(12.5M)
Free Cash Flow(135.0M)231.8M108.1M125.1M40.7M65.2M
Depreciation118.2M121.3M116.3M117.2M124.5M68.9M
Other Non Cash Items205.9M56.7M(1.2M)61.5M92.6M97.2M
Dividends Paid94.5M31.7M114.8M116.1M116.1M121.9M
Capital Expenditures296.0M70.1M97.1M125.4M128.3M128.3M
Net Income(32.5M)254.5M131.9M99.1M40.9M38.9M
End Period Cash Flow437.0M144.6M45.1M25.1M12.0M11.4M
Change To Netincome171.9M(136.4M)85.1M99.8M114.8M120.6M
Investments(157.2M)78.3M(98.5M)(124.3M)(124.3M)(130.5M)

Cracker Barrel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cracker Barrel or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cracker Barrel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cracker stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
3.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Cracker Barrel Volatility Alert

Cracker Barrel Old currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cracker Barrel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cracker Barrel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cracker Barrel Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cracker Barrel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cracker Barrel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cracker Barrel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cracker Barrel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cracker Barrel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cracker Barrel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cracker Barrel to competition
FundamentalsCracker BarrelPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0886-0.31
Return On Asset0.0208-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.22 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.34 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.41 M4.71 M
Price To Earning56.37 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.30 X11.42 X
Revenue3.47 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.11 B27.38 B
EBITDA184.5 M3.9 B
Net Income40.93 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents45.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.82 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations168.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.83 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.50 X4.89 X
Target Price42.86
Number Of Employees77.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization1.03 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.16 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings427.35 M9.33 B
Working Capital(175.99 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1019 shares by Craig Pommells of Cracker Barrel at 45.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cracker Barrel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cracker . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cracker Barrel Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cracker Barrel Old? Buying financial instruments such as Cracker Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cracker Barrel in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Rubber and Plastic Products
Rubber and Plastic Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Rubber and Plastic Products theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Rubber and Plastic Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cracker Barrel Old is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cracker Barrel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cracker Barrel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cracker Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cracker Barrel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. If investors know Cracker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cracker Barrel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.52)
Dividend Share
4.15
Earnings Share
1.83
Revenue Per Share
156.397
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Cracker Barrel Old is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cracker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cracker Barrel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cracker Barrel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cracker Barrel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cracker Barrel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cracker Barrel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cracker Barrel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cracker Barrel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.