China Citic Bank Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHCJY Stock  USD 11.60  2.35  16.85%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Citic Bank is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell China Citic Bank given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards China Citic. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for China Citic Bank, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out China Citic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards China Citic Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

Execute China Citic Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Citic Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Citic Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Citic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China CiticBuy China Citic
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Citic Bank has a Mean Deviation of 1.83, Standard Deviation of 5.24 and Variance of 27.47
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on China Citic Bank and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure China Citic is not overpriced, please confirm all China Citic Bank fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and market capitalization . Given that China Citic Bank has a price to book of 0.24 X, we suggest you to validate China Citic Bank market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

China Citic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Citic Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
China Citic Bank has high historical volatility and very poor performance
China Citic Bank has accumulated about 814.24 B in cash with (301.77 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 332.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

China Citic Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Citic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Citic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Citic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Citic Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Citic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Citic.
Mean Return
-0.0043
Value At Risk
-8.11
Potential Upside
7.93
Standard Deviation
5.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Citic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Citic Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Citic or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Citic's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
5.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

China Citic Volatility Alert

China Citic Bank exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.91 and kurtosis of 8.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Citic's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Citic's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

China Citic Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Citic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Citic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Citic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Citic or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Citic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Citic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Citic to competition
FundamentalsChina CiticPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0942-0.31
Return On Asset0.0075-0.14
Profit Margin0.44 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.53 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation551.48 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.45 B571.82 M
Price To Earning3.24 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.23 X11.42 X
Revenue204.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit126.37 B27.38 B
Net Income55.64 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents814.24 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share332.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.34 T5.32 B
Book Value Per Share268.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(301.77 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.06 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.42 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees58.33 K18.84 K
Beta0.53-0.15
Market Capitalization31.88 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.04 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings230.75 B9.33 B
Working Capital(3.72 T)1.48 B
Current Asset897.5 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities4.62 T7.9 B
Annual Yield0.1 %
Net Asset8.04 T
Last Dividend Paid0.3

China Citic Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Citic Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Citic Bank? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China Citic's price analysis, check to measure China Citic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Citic is operating at the current time. Most of China Citic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Citic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Citic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Citic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.