Church Dwight Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CHD Stock | USD 112.25 0.96 0.86% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Church Dwight is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Church Dwight buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CHD positions.
Check out Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Church and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Church Dwight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Church |
Execute Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice
The Church recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Church Dwight. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Church Dwight or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Church Dwight's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Church Dwight Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Church Dwight Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Church Dwight's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Church Dwight's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Church Dwight daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Church Dwight price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Church Dwight returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Church Dwight.
| Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -1.74 | Potential Upside | 1.80 | Standard Deviation | 1.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Church Dwight historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Church Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Fundsmith Investment Services Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.8 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Amundi | 2024-06-30 | 1.8 M | Proshare Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 30.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 20.9 M |
Church Dwight Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (33.8M) | (61.9M) | (29.1M) | (92.8M) | 38.5M | 40.4M | |
| Change In Cash | (161M) | 27.4M | 57.5M | 29.7M | 74.2M | 77.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 790.8M | 891.4M | 875M | 706.4M | 807.1M | 847.5M | |
| Depreciation | 176.4M | 189.7M | 219.1M | 219M | 197.1M | 207.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12.6M | (91.8M) | (79.5M) | 406.6M | 37.4M | 39.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 224.1M | 237.3M | 247.5M | 255M | 266.5M | 279.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 73.7M | 98.9M | 118.8M | 178.8M | 223.5M | 234.7M | |
| Net Income | 568.6M | 615.9M | 785.9M | 827.5M | 755.6M | 793.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 155.7M | 183.1M | 240.6M | 270.3M | 344.5M | 174.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 45.6M | 55.8M | (35.5M) | (77.5M) | (69.8M) | (66.3M) | |
| Investments | (553.5M) | (608.1M) | (682M) | (728.6M) | (756.3M) | (718.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (9.2M) | (13.4M) | 2.4M | (5.3M) | (6.1M) | (6.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (49M) | 99M | 400.7M | 119.9M | 137.9M | 158.3M |
Church Dwight Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Church Dwight or Household Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Church Dwight's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Church stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Church Dwight Volatility Alert
Church Dwight has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.92 and kurtosis of 3.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Church Dwight's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Church Dwight's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Church Dwight Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Church Dwight's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Church Dwight's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Church Dwight and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Church Dwight or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Church Dwight's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Church Dwight by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Church Dwight to competition |
| Fundamentals | Church Dwight | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0809 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 28.63 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 245 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.53 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.64 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 25.81 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.50 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.87 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.25 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.06 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 755.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 270.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.63 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.61 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.84 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 17.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.03 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.23 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.82 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 106.46 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.55 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 27.27 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.01 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 107.7 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
Church Dwight Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Church . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Church Dwight Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Church Dwight? Buying financial instruments such as Church Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Church Dwight in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Church Dwight Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Church Stock refer to our How to Trade Church Stock guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Church Dwight. If investors know Church will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Church Dwight listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.112 | Dividend Share 1.121 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share 24.777 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 |
The market value of Church Dwight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Church that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Church Dwight's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Church Dwight's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Church Dwight's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Church Dwight's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Church Dwight's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Church Dwight is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Church Dwight's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.