Civitas Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CIVI Stock  USD 53.51  1.24  2.26%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Civitas Resources is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Civitas Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Civitas Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Civitas Stock please use our How to Invest in Civitas Resources guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Civitas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Civitas Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Civitas Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The Civitas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Civitas Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Civitas Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Civitas Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Civitas ResourcesBuy Civitas Resources
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Civitas Resources has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.026, Jensen Alpha of 0.0366, Total Risk Alpha of (0.01), Sortino Ratio of 0.0099 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1511
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Civitas Resources. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Civitas Resources is not overpriced, please confirm all Civitas Resources fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Civitas Resources has a price to earning of 23.58 X, we suggest you to validate Civitas Resources market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Civitas Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Civitas Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Civitas Resources currently holds 4.96 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.09, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Civitas Resources has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Civitas Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Civitas Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Civitas Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Civitas Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Civitas Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Civitas Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Civitas Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Civitas Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Civitas Resources.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-3.31
Potential Upside
3.11
Standard Deviation
2.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Civitas Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Civitas Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Slate Path Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
1.4 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
1.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Woodline Partners Lp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10 M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2024-09-30
9.5 M
Note, although Civitas Resources' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Civitas Resources Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash13.8M229.7M513.6M358.7M412.5M433.1M
Free Cash Flow95.0M121.8M1.1B729.6M656.7M623.8M
Depreciation76.5M342.8M816.4M1.2B1.1B1.0B
Other Non Cash Items46.1M(278.8M)(257.0M)(68.7M)(61.9M)(58.8M)
Capital Expenditures63.8M152.8M1.3B1.5B1.7B1.8B
Net Income103.5M178.9M1.2B784.3M705.9M888.0M
End Period Cash Flow24.8M254.6M768.1M1.1B1.0B1.1B
Change To Inventory248K(28.3M)41.3M(47.5M)(42.8M)(40.6M)
Net Borrowings30M(80.1M)(53.3M)(101.2M)(116.4M)(122.2M)
Change To Netincome48.8M(57.2M)199.5M684.3M786.9M826.2M
Investments(63.8M)212K(1.3B)(4.8B)(4.3B)(4.1B)

Civitas Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Civitas Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Civitas Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Civitas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Civitas Resources Volatility Alert

Civitas Resources currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Civitas Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Civitas Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Civitas Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Civitas Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Civitas Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Civitas Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Civitas Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Civitas Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Civitas Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Civitas Resources to competition
FundamentalsCivitas ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0778-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding96.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.4 M4.71 M
Price To Earning23.58 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.02 X11.42 X
Revenue3.48 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.74 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.34 B3.9 B
Net Income784.29 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents439.25 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.96 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share68.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.24 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share10.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.45 X4.89 X
Target Price71.63
Number Of Employees51618.84 K
Beta1.5-0.15
Market Capitalization5.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.21 B9.33 B
Working Capital292.52 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jeff Kelly of 12509 shares of Civitas Resources subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Civitas Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Civitas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Civitas Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Civitas Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Civitas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Civitas Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Penny
Penny Theme
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When determining whether Civitas Resources offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Civitas Resources' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Civitas Resources Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Civitas Resources Stock:
Check out Civitas Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Civitas Stock please use our How to Invest in Civitas Resources guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Civitas Resources. If investors know Civitas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Civitas Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.929
Dividend Share
6.06
Earnings Share
10.2
Revenue Per Share
51.373
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.228
The market value of Civitas Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Civitas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Civitas Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Civitas Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Civitas Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Civitas Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Civitas Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Civitas Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Civitas Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.