Clean Energy Fuels Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLNE Stock  USD 3.44  0.13  3.64%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Clean Energy Fuels is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Clean Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CLNE positions.
  
Check out Clean Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Clean and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Clean Energy Fuels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Clean Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Clean recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Clean Energy Fuels. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Clean Energy Fuels or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Clean Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Clean EnergyBuy Clean Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Clean Energy Fuels has a Mean Deviation of 2.86, Semi Deviation of 3.23, Standard Deviation of 3.92, Variance of 15.36, Downside Variance of 12.93 and Semi Variance of 10.4
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Clean Energy Fuels. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Clean Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Clean Energy Fuels fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Clean Energy Fuels has a price to earning of 81.38 X, we suggest you to validate Clean Energy Fuels market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Clean Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Clean Energy Fuels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 425.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (99.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 122.91 M.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: BlackRock, Inc.s Strategic Acquisition of Clean Energy Fuels Corp Shares

Clean Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Clean Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Clean Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Clean Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Clean Energy Fuels price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Clean Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Clean Energy.
Mean Return
0.37
Value At Risk
-5.08
Potential Upside
6.16
Standard Deviation
3.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Clean Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Clean Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
2.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Ardsley Advisory Partners2024-09-30
1.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
1.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Rice Hall James & Associates, Llc2024-09-30
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
870.4 K
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2024-09-30
17.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
15.2 M
Note, although Clean Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Clean Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory108K(5.7M)(9.3M)(11.4M)(10.3M)(9.7M)
Change In Cash66.8M(13.5M)19.5M(19.0M)(17.1M)(16.2M)
Free Cash Flow47.8M12.4M13.2M(77.5M)(89.1M)(93.6M)
Depreciation47.7M45.2M54.7M45.7M52.5M38.3M
Other Non Cash Items(31K)7.3M11.5M22.9M20.6M21.6M
Capital Expenditures13.3M28.9M53.5M121.3M139.5M146.4M
Net Income(11.5M)(94.2M)(59.6M)(99.5M)(89.5M)(85.1M)
End Period Cash Flow120.0M106.5M126.0M107.0M123.0M88.0M
Change To Netincome291K(1.6M)16.5M61.5M70.8M74.3M
Investments27.0M(104.1M)(148.5M)(144.6M)(130.1M)(123.6M)
Change Receivables(6.4M)(63.4M)53.8M(24.3M)(27.9M)(26.5M)
Net Borrowings(7.9M)(5.7M)(47.6M)109.9M98.9M103.8M

Clean Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Clean Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Clean Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Clean stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
3.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Clean Energy Volatility Alert

Clean Energy Fuels shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Clean Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Clean Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Clean Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Clean Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Clean Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Clean Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Clean Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Clean Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clean Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Clean Energy to competition
FundamentalsClean EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.1-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0162-0.14
Profit Margin(0.17) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation920.22 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding223.46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders20.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions52.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted10.51 M4.71 M
Price To Earning81.38 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.86 X11.42 X
Revenue425.16 M9.43 B
Gross Profit122.91 M27.38 B
EBITDA(32.63 M)3.9 B
Net Income(99.5 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents134.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.60 X5.01 X
Total Debt360.51 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.65 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.24 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations43.78 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.33) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.42 X4.89 X
Target Price7.25
Number Of Employees56618.84 K
Beta2.13-0.15
Market Capitalization768.69 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.26 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(929.47 M)9.33 B
Working Capital306.35 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 100000 shares by Taormina Vincent C of Clean Energy at 6.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Clean Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Clean . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Clean Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Clean Energy Fuels? Buying financial instruments such as Clean Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Clean Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Theme ETFs
Theme ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Theme ETFs theme has 474 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Theme ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Clean Energy Fuels is a strong investment it is important to analyze Clean Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Clean Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Clean Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Clean Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clean Energy. If investors know Clean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clean Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.12
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Revenue Per Share
1.852
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Clean Energy Fuels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clean Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clean Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clean Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clean Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clean Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clean Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clean Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.