Caledonia Mining (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CMCL Stock | 855.00 45.00 5.00% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Caledonia Mining is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Caledonia Mining given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Caledonia Mining. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Caledonia Mining, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Caledonia Mining Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to Invest in Caledonia Mining guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Caledonia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Caledonia |
Execute Caledonia Mining Buy or Sell Advice
The Caledonia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caledonia Mining. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caledonia Mining or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Caledonia Mining's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Caledonia Mining Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Caledonia Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caledonia Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Caledonia Mining Stock Passes Below Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Caledonia Mining Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Caledonia Mining's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Caledonia Mining's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Caledonia Mining daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caledonia Mining price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Caledonia Mining returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Caledonia Mining.
| Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -4.27 | Potential Upside | 4.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.42 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Caledonia Mining historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Caledonia Mining Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (2.3M) | 10.2M | (2.8M) | (14.8M) | (12.5M) | (11.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (2.0M) | 3.1M | (6.9M) | (1.5M) | (15.6M) | (14.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 4.4M | 4.6M | 8.0M | 10.1M | 14.5M | 15.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 63K | 38.0M | (5.3M) | (10.1M) | (12.8M) | (12.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 20.0M | 27.8M | 37.8M | 44.1M | 30.4M | 31.9M | |
| Net Income | 60.9M | 40.7M | 38.4M | 40.3M | 15.2M | 15.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 8.9M | 19.1M | 16.3M | 1.5M | (11.0M) | (10.5M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.7M) | (5.7M) | (4.0M) | 1.9M | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.4M | 4.5M | 8.1M | 8.9M | 11.1M | 5.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.5M | 2.2M | (692K) | 2.3M | 2.0M | 1.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.5M | (24.2M) | 7.1M | 11.6M | 10.4M | 11.0M | |
| Investments | (19.0M) | (28.0M) | (35.9M) | (44.6M) | (31.2M) | (32.7M) |
Caledonia Mining Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caledonia Mining or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caledonia Mining's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caledonia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Caledonia Mining Volatility Alert
Caledonia Mining exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.15 and kurtosis of 3.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caledonia Mining's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caledonia Mining's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Caledonia Mining Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Caledonia Mining's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Caledonia Mining's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Caledonia Mining and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Caledonia Mining or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Caledonia Mining's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caledonia Mining by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Caledonia Mining to competition |
| Fundamentals | Caledonia Mining | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0526 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0876 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 170.66 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 19.21 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 14.98 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 47.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.88 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 146.31 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 62.72 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 29.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 15.18 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 25.06 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.77 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.38 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 1681.5 | |
| Beta | 0.72 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 174.37 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 328.3 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (63.17 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 14.1 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Net Asset | 328.3 M | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.56 |
Caledonia Mining Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caledonia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0897 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.54) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 883.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 874.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 83.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (51.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (45.00) |
About Caledonia Mining Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Caledonia Mining? Buying financial instruments such as Caledonia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Caledonia Stock Analysis
When running Caledonia Mining's price analysis, check to measure Caledonia Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caledonia Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Caledonia Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caledonia Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caledonia Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caledonia Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.