Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CMG Stock | USD 59.98 1.10 1.87% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Chipotle Mexican Grill is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Chipotle Mexican buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CMG positions.
Check out Chipotle Mexican Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Chipotle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Chipotle Mexican Grill. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Chipotle |
Execute Chipotle Mexican Buy or Sell Advice
The Chipotle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Chipotle Mexican Grill. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Chipotle Mexican Grill or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Chipotle Mexican's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Chipotle Mexican Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Chipotle Mexican is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Levi Korsinsky Reminds Shareholders of a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of January 10, 2025 in Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Lawsuit CMG |
Chipotle Mexican Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Chipotle Mexican's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Chipotle Mexican daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Chipotle Mexican Grill price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Chipotle Mexican returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Chipotle Mexican.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -2.68 | Potential Upside | 2.74 | Standard Deviation | 1.88 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Chipotle Mexican historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Chipotle Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 21.6 M | Edgewood Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 21.3 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 20.1 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 17.7 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 16.4 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 13.5 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-06-30 | 13.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 13 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 12.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 120.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 109.5 M |
Chipotle Mexican Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 333.9M | 373.4M | 442.5M | 479.2M | 560.7M | 588.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.5M) | (394K) | (6.4M) | (3.0M) | (3.6M) | (3.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 228.3M | 127.4M | 210.4M | (437.3M) | 177.2M | 186.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 387.7M | 290.5M | 839.6M | 844.0M | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Depreciation | 376.7M | 423.1M | 254.7M | 286.8M | 319.4M | 163.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.8M | 32.7M | 13.0M | 3.8M | 25.5M | 26.8M | |
| Net Income | 350.2M | 355.8M | 653.0M | 899.1M | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 508.5M | 635.8M | 846.2M | 409.0M | 586.2M | 352.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 110.8M | 194.8M | 177.0M | 37.9M | 43.6M | 82.9M | |
| Investments | 28.0M | (59.4M) | (83.6M) | (350.9M) | (977.7M) | (928.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.6M) | 3.0M | (1.7M) | (14.0M) | (12.6M) | (12.0M) |
Chipotle Mexican Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chipotle Mexican or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chipotle Mexican's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chipotle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Chipotle Mexican Volatility Alert
Chipotle Mexican Grill currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chipotle Mexican's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chipotle Mexican's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Chipotle Mexican Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Chipotle Mexican's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Chipotle Mexican's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Chipotle Mexican and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Chipotle Mexican or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Chipotle Mexican's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chipotle Mexican by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Chipotle Mexican to competition |
| Fundamentals | Chipotle Mexican | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.46 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 83.14 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.36 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 28.37 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 106.17 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 22.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.87 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.37 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.94 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.23 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 384 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 28.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.05 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.60 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.32 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.65 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.78 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.03 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 64.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 125 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 80.23 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.04 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 6.06 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 590.09 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Laurie Schalow of 162 shares of Chipotle Mexican [view details]
Chipotle Mexican Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Chipotle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Chipotle Mexican Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Chipotle Mexican Grill? Buying financial instruments such as Chipotle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Chipotle Mexican in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Chipotle Mexican Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.231 | Earnings Share 1.07 | Revenue Per Share 8.012 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.13 | Return On Assets 0.1401 |
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.