China Railway (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CNO Stock  EUR 0.44  0.01  2.22%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding China Railway Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Railway buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CNO positions.
  
Check out China Railway Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as China and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. China Railway Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute China Railway Buy or Sell Advice

The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Railway Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Railway Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Railway's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell China RailwayBuy China Railway
Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon China Railway Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0436, Jensen Alpha of 0.119, Total Risk Alpha of (0.47), Sortino Ratio of 0.0154 and Treynor Ratio of 0.296
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on China Railway Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure China Railway is not overpriced, please confirm all China Railway Group fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to sales, net income, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and gross profit .

China Railway Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

China Railway Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
China Railway Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
China Railway Group has accumulated €195.14 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings

China Railway Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of China Railway's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Railway's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Railway daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Railway Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Railway returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Railway.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-6.25
Potential Upside
6.67
Standard Deviation
4.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Railway historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

China Railway Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Railway or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Railway's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
4.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

China Railway Volatility Alert

China Railway Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. China Railway Group is a potential penny stock. Although China Railway may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in China Railway Group. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on China instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

China Railway Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing China Railway's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Railway's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Railway and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Railway or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Railway's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Railway by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare China Railway to competition
FundamentalsChina RailwayPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0878-0.31
Return On Asset0.0187-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation46.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.21 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions27.74 %39.21 %
Price To Earning5.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.02 X11.42 X
Revenue1.07 T9.43 B
Gross Profit108.58 B27.38 B
EBITDA55.13 B3.9 B
Net Income27.62 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents15.65 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.69 X5.01 X
Total Debt195.14 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity77.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.07 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.16 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees294.01 K18.84 K
Beta0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization19.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.36 T29.47 B
Annual Yield0.06 %
Five Year Return1.75 %
Net Asset1.36 T
Last Dividend Paid0.2

China Railway Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About China Railway Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell China Railway Group? Buying financial instruments such as China Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Synthetics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Railway security.