Cepton Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CPTN Stock | USD 3.13 0.01 0.32% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Cepton Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cepton's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Cepton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cepton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cepton Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Cepton |
Execute Cepton Buy or Sell Advice
The Cepton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cepton Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cepton Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cepton's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Cepton Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Cepton Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 194 K. | |
| Cepton Inc currently holds about 31.04 M in cash with (35.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1445 shares by Mitch Hourtienne of Cepton at 3.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Cepton Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cepton's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cepton's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cepton daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cepton Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cepton returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cepton.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -0.66 | Potential Upside | 0.99 | Standard Deviation | 0.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cepton historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cepton Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Cepton, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cepton Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 39.0 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 13.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 7.0 | Citigroup Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.0 | Point72 Asia (singapore) Pte. Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Fidelity Management And Research Company | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Empower Advisory Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 207.7 K | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 139.8 K |
Cepton Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (12.7M) | (26K) | (7.7M) | 30.9M | 18.5M | 19.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (17.7M) | (17.1M) | (37.0M) | (58.8M) | (36.8M) | (35.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 148K | 80K | 276K | 760K | 1.3M | 1.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.3M | 11.3M | 3.7M | 34.5M | 50.4M | 52.9M | |
| Net Income | (16.8M) | (19.6M) | (37.2M) | 9.4M | (48.5M) | (46.1M) |
Cepton Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cepton or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cepton's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cepton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Cepton Volatility Alert
Cepton Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.71 and kurtosis of 1.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cepton's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cepton's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Cepton Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cepton's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cepton's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cepton and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cepton or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cepton's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cepton by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cepton to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cepton | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.45 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.43) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (20.00) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.8 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.05 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 61.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 5.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 28.22 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.82 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.81 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 13.06 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 194 K | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (48.61 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (48.55 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 31.04 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.19 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.24) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (35.52 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.87 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.63) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 87 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.082 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 50.24 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 76.45 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (134.6 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 56.58 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 76.45 M |
Note: Disposition of 1445 shares by Mitch Hourtienne of Cepton at 3.12 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Cepton Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cepton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Cepton Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cepton Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cepton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Cepton in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Moderate Funds Thematic Idea Now
Moderate Funds
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Cepton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cepton. If investors know Cepton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cepton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.63) | Revenue Per Share 1.121 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.86) | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (0.45) |
The market value of Cepton Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cepton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cepton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cepton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cepton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cepton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cepton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cepton is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cepton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.