Cepton Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CPTNW Stock  USD 0.01  0  26.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cepton Inc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cepton Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cepton. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cepton Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cepton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cepton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cepton Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Cepton Buy or Sell Advice

The Cepton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cepton Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cepton Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cepton's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CeptonBuy Cepton
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cepton Inc has a Mean Deviation of 8.41, Semi Deviation of 8.55, Standard Deviation of 13.03, Variance of 169.81, Downside Variance of 113.69 and Semi Variance of 73.07
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cepton Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cepton is not overpriced, please confirm all Cepton Inc fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the Current Ratio and total asset . As Cepton Inc appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its total debt numbers.

Cepton Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cepton Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cepton Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cepton Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 13.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Cepton Inc has accumulated about 16.1 M in cash with (35.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Cepton Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures

Cepton Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cepton's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cepton's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cepton daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cepton Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cepton returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cepton.
Mean Return
1.09
Value At Risk
-21.09
Potential Upside
22.22
Standard Deviation
13.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cepton historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cepton Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(12.7M)(26K)(7.7M)30.9M18.5M19.4M
Free Cash Flow(17.7M)(17.1M)(37.0M)(58.8M)(36.8M)(35.0M)
Capital Expenditures148K80K276K760K1.3M1.4M
End Period Cash Flow11.3M11.3M3.7M34.5M50.4M52.9M
Net Income(16.8M)(19.6M)(37.2M)9.4M(48.5M)(46.1M)

Cepton Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cepton or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cepton's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cepton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.27
σ
Overall volatility
13.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Cepton Volatility Alert

Cepton Inc is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Cepton Inc is a penny stock. Even though Cepton may be a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative instruments that are subject to artificial stock promotions. Please make sure you fully understand upside and downside scenarios of investing in Cepton Inc or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings,sudden promotions and many other similar artificial hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check work history of company executives before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Cepton instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Cepton Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cepton's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cepton's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cepton and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cepton or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cepton's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cepton by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cepton to competition
FundamentalsCeptonPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.45-0.31
Return On Asset-0.27-0.14
Profit Margin(1.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(20.00) %(5.51) %
Number Of Shares Shorted574.71 M
Revenue13.06 M9.43 B
EBITDA(48.61 M)3.9 B
Net Income(48.55 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents16.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.6 M5.32 B
Current Ratio4.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(3.24) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(35.52 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.90) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees8718.84 K
Beta0.082-0.15
Total Asset76.45 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(134.6 M)9.33 B
Working Capital56.58 M1.48 B
Net Asset76.45 M
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Mark McCord of Cepton at 1.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cepton Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cepton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cepton Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cepton Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cepton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cepton in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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FinTech
FinTech Theme
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Cepton Stock Analysis

When running Cepton's price analysis, check to measure Cepton's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cepton is operating at the current time. Most of Cepton's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cepton's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cepton's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cepton to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.