Catalent Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CTLT Stock  USD 59.66  0.66  1.12%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Catalent is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Catalent given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Catalent. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Catalent, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Catalent Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Catalent Stock please use our How to Invest in Catalent guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Catalent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Catalent. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Catalent Buy or Sell Advice

The Catalent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Catalent. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Catalent or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Catalent's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CatalentBuy Catalent
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Catalent has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of (0.05)
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Catalent. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Catalent is not overpriced, please confirm all Catalent fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Catalent has a price to earning of 17.80 X, we suggest you to validate Catalent market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Catalent Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.04 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 B.
Catalent has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1114 shares by Michael Grippo of Catalent subject to Rule 16b-3

Catalent Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Catalent's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Catalent's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Catalent daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Catalent price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Catalent returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Catalent.
Mean Return
-0.0097
Value At Risk
-0.65
Potential Upside
0.72
Standard Deviation
0.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Catalent historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Catalent Stock Institutional Investors

The Catalent's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Catalent's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Elliott Investment Management Lp2024-06-30
M
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp2024-06-30
3.2 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
2.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
2.4 M
Eckert Corp2024-09-30
2.1 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
1.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
20.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
15.4 M
Note, although Catalent's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Catalent Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(76.4M)(260M)(128M)(192M)109M114.5M
Change In Cash607.8M(57M)(447M)(169M)9M7.2M
Free Cash Flow(25.5M)(253M)(221M)(322M)(59M)(56.1M)
Depreciation253.7M289M378M422M489M252.9M
Other Non Cash Items36.7M(124M)86M347M844M886.2M
Capital Expenditures465.8M686M660M583M327M312.2M
Net Income220.7M585M519M(256M)(1.0B)(990.9M)
End Period Cash Flow953.2M896M449M280M289M370.8M
Change Receivables33.6M(118.9M)(186M)(73M)(65.7M)(69.0M)
Net Borrowings124.2M48.3M80M1.0B1.2B1.2B
Change To Netincome74.8M(79M)126M121M139.2M146.1M
Investments1.8M(827.5M)(649M)(22M)(327M)(343.4M)

Catalent Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Catalent or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Catalent's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Catalent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Catalent Volatility Alert

Catalent exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.01 and kurtosis of 6.95. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Catalent's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Catalent's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Catalent Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Catalent's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Catalent's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Catalent and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Catalent or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Catalent's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Catalent by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Catalent to competition
FundamentalsCatalentPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0018-0.14
Profit Margin(0.09) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.07) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.32 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding181.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions87.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.44 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.80 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.02 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.42 X11.42 X
Revenue4.38 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.04 B27.38 B
EBITDA(284 M)3.9 B
Net Income(1.04 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents345 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.99 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations268 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.47 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.28) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.95 X4.89 X
Target Price63.43
Number Of Employees17 K18.84 K
Beta1.16-0.15
Market Capitalization10.71 B19.03 B
Total Asset9.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(781 M)9.33 B
Working Capital1.57 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1114 shares by Michael Grippo of Catalent subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Catalent Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Catalent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Catalent Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Catalent? Buying financial instruments such as Catalent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Catalent in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Municipals ETFs
Municipals ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Municipals ETFs theme has 109 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Municipals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Catalent Stock Analysis

When running Catalent's price analysis, check to measure Catalent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalent is operating at the current time. Most of Catalent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.