Graftech International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| EAF Stock | USD 2.08 0.07 3.26% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GrafTech International is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides GrafTech International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EAF positions.
Check out GrafTech International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in GrafTech Stock please use our How to Invest in GrafTech International guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GrafTech and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. GrafTech International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
GrafTech |
Execute GrafTech International Buy or Sell Advice
The GrafTech recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GrafTech International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GrafTech International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GrafTech International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
GrafTech International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GrafTech International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GrafTech International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 620.5 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (255.25 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 554.88 M. | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: GrafTech International Ltd. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
GrafTech International Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GrafTech International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GrafTech International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GrafTech International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GrafTech International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GrafTech International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GrafTech International.
| Mean Return | 2.03 | Value At Risk | -8.77 | Potential Upside | 15.07 | Standard Deviation | 7.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GrafTech International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GrafTech Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.5 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 4.4 M | Marathon Asset Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.5 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 2.7 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Foundation Resource Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Invenomic Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Barclays Plc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 38.2 M | Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2024-09-30 | 20.5 M |
GrafTech International Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (21.5M) | 44.6M | (28.2M) | (153.6M) | 107.8M | 113.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 31.1M | 64.5M | (87.9M) | 77.1M | 42.2M | 44.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 741.2M | 527.6M | 384.8M | 252.5M | 14.4M | 13.7M | |
| Depreciation | 61.8M | 63.0M | 65.7M | 55.5M | 56.9M | 55.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 25.7M | (19.3M) | (7.8M) | (33.5M) | 193.7M | 203.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 98.6M | 30.9M | 10.6M | 10.3M | 5.1M | 4.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 64.1M | 36.1M | 58.3M | 72.2M | 54.0M | 54.4M | |
| Net Income | 744.6M | 434.4M | 388.3M | 383.0M | (255.3M) | (242.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 80.9M | 145.4M | 57.5M | 134.6M | 176.9M | 185.7M | |
| Investments | (63.9M) | (35.7M) | (57.9M) | (72.0M) | (74.9M) | (71.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (350.1M) | (402.6M) | (400.1M) | (112.4M) | (101.1M) | (96.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 45.7M | 45.3M | 32.4M | 11.3M | 10.2M | 9.7M |
GrafTech International Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GrafTech International or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GrafTech International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GrafTech stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
GrafTech International Volatility Alert
GrafTech International is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GrafTech International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GrafTech International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GrafTech International Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GrafTech International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GrafTech International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GrafTech International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GrafTech International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GrafTech International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GrafTech International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GrafTech International to competition |
Note: Acquisition by Michel Dumas of 16108 shares of GrafTech International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
GrafTech International Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GrafTech . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GrafTech International Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GrafTech International? Buying financial instruments such as GrafTech Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Dynamically calculated list of top equities currently trending upward via a buy-out by investors. The Most Shorted Equities theme has 228 constituents at this time.
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Check out GrafTech International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in GrafTech Stock please use our How to Invest in GrafTech International guide.You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GrafTech International. If investors know GrafTech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GrafTech International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share (1.16) | Revenue Per Share 2.104 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of GrafTech International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GrafTech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GrafTech International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GrafTech International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GrafTech International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GrafTech International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GrafTech International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GrafTech International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GrafTech International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.