Vaalco Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EGY Stock  USD 5.23  0.18  3.33%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vaalco Energy is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vaalco Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vaalco Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vaalco Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vaalco Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Vaalco Stock please use our How to Invest in Vaalco Energy guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vaalco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vaalco Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Vaalco Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Vaalco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vaalco Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vaalco Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vaalco Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vaalco EnergyBuy Vaalco Energy
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vaalco Energy has a Mean Deviation of 2.03, Standard Deviation of 2.55 and Variance of 6.5
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Vaalco Energy. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Vaalco Energy is not overpriced, please validate all Vaalco Energy fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that Vaalco Energy has a price to earning of 4.40 X, we advise you to double-check Vaalco Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vaalco Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vaalco Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vaalco Energy has 90.8 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Vaalco Energy has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vaalco to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 61.0% of Vaalco Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Foundry Partners LLC Increases Holdings in VAALCO Energy, Inc. - MarketBeat

Vaalco Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vaalco Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vaalco Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vaalco Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vaalco Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vaalco Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vaalco Energy.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-3.96
Potential Upside
2.93
Standard Deviation
2.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vaalco Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vaalco Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Vaalco Energy, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vaalco Energy back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
1.3 M
Foundry Partners, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
962.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
941.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
875.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
710.6 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
651 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2024-06-30
641.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
7.6 M
Note, although Vaalco Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vaalco Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash12.5M2.2M11.0M(12.5M)69.4M72.9M
Free Cash Flow16.1M3.1M11.1M(31.1M)126.4M132.7M
Depreciation7.3M9.6M21.1M48.1M115.3M121.1M
Other Non Cash Items(8.3M)34.4M(3.8M)(19.3M)6.6M6.3M
Capital Expenditures10.3M24.3M39.1M159.9M97.2M102.1M
Net Income2.6M(48.2M)81.8M51.9M60.4M63.4M
End Period Cash Flow59.1M61.3M72.3M59.8M129.2M135.6M
Change To Inventory(287K)(2.8M)5.0M(1.7M)1.4M1.5M
Change To Netincome7.6M56.7M(44.1M)31.6M28.4M17.8M
Change Receivables(2.5M)15.7M(21.0M)9.1M8.2M8.6M
Investments(10.3M)(24.3M)(39.1M)(123.2M)(96.7M)(91.9M)

Vaalco Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vaalco Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vaalco Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vaalco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.57
σ
Overall volatility
2.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Vaalco Energy Volatility Alert

Vaalco Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.7 and kurtosis of 1.58. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vaalco Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vaalco Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vaalco Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vaalco Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vaalco Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vaalco Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vaalco Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vaalco Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vaalco Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vaalco Energy to competition
FundamentalsVaalco EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.13-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation557.96 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding103.74 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.17 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.93 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.11 X11.42 X
Revenue455.07 M9.43 B
Gross Profit114.92 M27.38 B
EBITDA274.19 M3.9 B
Net Income60.35 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents37.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt90.8 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations223.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.62 X4.89 X
Target Price9.17
Number Of Employees18918.84 K
Beta1.19-0.15
Market Capitalization561.25 M19.03 B
Total Asset823.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings177.49 M9.33 B
Working Capital100.67 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1696 shares by Matthew Powers of Vaalco Energy at 6.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vaalco Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vaalco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vaalco Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vaalco Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Vaalco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Vaalco Stock Analysis

When running Vaalco Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vaalco Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaalco Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vaalco Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaalco Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaalco Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaalco Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.