Empire Petroleum Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EP Stock  USD 5.75  0.14  2.38%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Empire Petroleum Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Empire Petroleum Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Empire Petroleum. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Empire Petroleum Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Empire Petroleum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Empire and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Empire Petroleum Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Empire Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice

The Empire recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Empire Petroleum Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Empire Petroleum Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Empire Petroleum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Empire PetroleumBuy Empire Petroleum
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Empire Petroleum Corp has a Mean Deviation of 2.78, Semi Deviation of 3.77, Standard Deviation of 3.65, Variance of 13.31, Downside Variance of 16.08 and Semi Variance of 14.18
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Empire Petroleum Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Empire Petroleum is not overpriced, please confirm all Empire Petroleum Corp fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Empire Petroleum Corp has a number of shares shorted of 1.39 M, we urge you to verify Empire Petroleum Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Empire Petroleum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Empire Petroleum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 40.14 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (12.47 M) with gross profit of 12.29 M.
Empire Petroleum Corp reports about 11.94 M in cash with (9.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57.
Empire Petroleum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Helen of Troy Limited Announces Agreement to Acquire Olive June, LLC

Empire Petroleum Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Empire Petroleum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Empire Petroleum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Empire Petroleum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Empire Petroleum Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Empire Petroleum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Empire Petroleum.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-6.47
Potential Upside
6.11
Standard Deviation
3.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Empire Petroleum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Empire Petroleum Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(84.6K)157.7K3.5M8.3M(4.2M)(3.9M)
Free Cash Flow(6.8M)(2.2M)(16.7M)4.6M(26.9M)(25.5M)
Depreciation3.7M4.0M3.9M2.2M5.3M5.5M
Other Non Cash Items5.5M14.0M23.8M5.3M(288.0K)(273.6K)
Capital Expenditures6.2M513.5K19.9M13.4M17.0M17.8M
Net Income(6.7M)(16.8M)(18.6M)7.1M(12.5M)(13.1M)
End Period Cash Flow590.2K157.7K3.6M11.9M7.8M8.2M
Net Borrowings1.2M6.5M499.7K13.7M15.8M16.5M
Change To Netincome1.8M10.1M12.5M6.7M7.7M5.9M
Investments(6.2M)856.3K(24.7M)(11.4M)(12.1M)(12.7M)

Empire Petroleum Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Empire Petroleum or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Empire Petroleum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Empire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.49
σ
Overall volatility
3.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Empire Petroleum Volatility Alert

Empire Petroleum Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Empire Petroleum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Empire Petroleum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Empire Petroleum Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Empire Petroleum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Empire Petroleum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Empire Petroleum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Empire Petroleum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Empire Petroleum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Empire Petroleum to competition
FundamentalsEmpire PetroleumPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.45-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0867-0.14
Profit Margin(0.37) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.30) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation204.3 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding33.63 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders54.29 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.39 M4.71 M
Price To Earning136.26 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.50 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.41 X11.42 X
Revenue40.14 M9.43 B
Gross Profit12.29 M27.38 B
EBITDA(8.08 M)3.9 B
Net Income(12.47 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents11.94 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.68 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.39 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.79 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(9.89 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio51.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.61) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.79 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees5018.84 K
Beta1.12-0.15
Market Capitalization198.09 M19.03 B
Total Asset92.62 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(64.62 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(6.3 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.58 B9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Phil Mulacek of 741 shares of Empire Petroleum at 5.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Empire Petroleum Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Empire . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Empire Petroleum Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Empire Petroleum Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Empire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis

When running Empire Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Empire Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Empire Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.