Exlservice Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EXLS Stock  USD 39.78  0.71  1.75%   
Slightly above 55% of ExlService Holdings' investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading ExlService Holdings stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. ExlService Holdings' investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, ExlService Holdings' earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 45

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use ExlService Holdings' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward ExlService Holdings.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ExlService Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ExlService Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ExlService Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute ExlService Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The ExlService recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ExlService Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ExlService Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ExlService Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExlService HoldingsBuy ExlService Holdings
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon ExlService Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.10), Total Risk Alpha of (0.20) and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
ExlService Holdings advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure ExlService Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all ExlService Holdings fundamentals, including its price to book, cash flow from operations, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that ExlService Holdings has a price to earning of 63.46 X, we urge you to verify ExlService Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ExlService Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 9092 shares by Vikas Bhalla of ExlService Holdings at 42.64 subject to Rule 16b-3

ExlService Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ExlService Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ExlService Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ExlService Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ExlService Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ExlService Holdings.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-2.78
Potential Upside
1.94
Standard Deviation
1.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ExlService Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ExlService Stock Institutional Investors

The ExlService Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase ExlService Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
2.9 M
Fenimore Asset Management Inc2025-06-30
2.8 M
Btim Corp2025-06-30
2.7 M
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
2.4 M
Mackenzie Investments2025-06-30
2.3 M
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc2025-06-30
2.3 M
Hood River Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
2.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
1.9 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
1.9 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
17.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
14.9 M
Note, although ExlService Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ExlService Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash(81.7M)(18.2M)17.4M22.3M20.1M21.1M
Free Cash Flow147.1M121.3M158.4M222.3M255.6M268.4M
Depreciation76.0M77.9M70.7M55.2M63.5M40.5M
Other Non Cash Items15.7M(8.4M)20.8M3.4M3.9M4.1M
Capital Expenditures37.2M44.8M52.8M46.3M53.2M29.2M
Net Income114.8M143.0M184.6M198.3M228.0M239.4M
End Period Cash Flow143.8M125.6M141.0M163.3M187.8M131.6M
Change To Netincome6.6M24.1M32.2M21.4M24.6M13.8M
Investments(1.5M)(96.5M)(9.9M)(119.1M)(107.2M)(101.8M)
Change Receivables(7.1M)24.7M(37.7M)(68.1M)(61.3M)(58.2M)
Net Borrowings(29.0M)(10M)(50.2M)88.4M101.7M106.8M

ExlService Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ExlService Holdings or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ExlService Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ExlService stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

ExlService Holdings Volatility Alert

ExlService Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.34 and kurtosis of 4.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ExlService Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ExlService Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ExlService Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ExlService Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ExlService Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ExlService Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ExlService Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ExlService Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ExlService Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ExlService Holdings to competition
FundamentalsExlService HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.26-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.47 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding158.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.18 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.36 M4.71 M
Price To Earning63.46 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.75 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.17 X11.42 X
Revenue1.84 B9.43 B
Gross Profit774.84 M27.38 B
EBITDA357.59 M3.9 B
Net Income198.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents265.24 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt366.61 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.11 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations268.52 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.49 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.23 X4.89 X
Target Price52.14
Number Of Employees59.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.91-0.15
Market Capitalization6.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.62 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.28 B9.33 B
Working Capital505.07 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2798 shares by Ajay Ayyappan of ExlService Holdings at 42.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ExlService Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ExlService . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

ExlService Holdings Target Price Consensus

ExlService target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ExlService Holdings' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   10  Strong Buy
Most ExlService analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand ExlService stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of ExlService Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

ExlService Holdings Target Price Projection

ExlService Holdings' current and average target prices are 39.78 and 52.14, respectively. The current price of ExlService Holdings is the price at which ExlService Holdings is currently trading. On the other hand, ExlService Holdings' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

ExlService Holdings Market Quote on 29th of January 2026

Low Price39.78Odds
High Price39.78Odds

39.78

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On ExlService Holdings Target Price

Low Estimate47.45Odds
High Estimate57.88Odds

52.1429

Historical Lowest Forecast  47.45 Target Price  52.14 Highest Forecast  57.88
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on ExlService Holdings and the information provided on this page.

ExlService Holdings Analyst Ratings

ExlService Holdings' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about ExlService Holdings stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of ExlService Holdings' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. ExlService Holdings' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About ExlService Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ExlService Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as ExlService Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ExlService Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Financials
Financials Theme
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for ExlService Stock Analysis

When running ExlService Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ExlService Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ExlService Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ExlService Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ExlService Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ExlService Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.