Ferguson Plc (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FERG Stock   13,010  160.00  1.21%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ferguson Plc is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ferguson Plc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ferguson Plc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ferguson Plc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Ferguson Stock please use our How to Invest in Ferguson Plc guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ferguson and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ferguson Plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Execute Ferguson Plc Buy or Sell Advice

The Ferguson recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ferguson Plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ferguson Plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ferguson Plc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

3  Months

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Ferguson PlcBuy Ferguson Plc
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Very regressive towards the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ferguson Plc has a Mean Deviation of 4.16, Semi Deviation of 1.18, Standard Deviation of 16.2, Variance of 262.48, Downside Variance of 5.61 and Semi Variance of 1.39
Macroaxis provides advice on Ferguson Plc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ferguson Plc. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Ferguson Plc is not overpriced, please confirm all Ferguson Plc fundamentals, including its price to book, revenue, ebitda, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

Ferguson Plc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ferguson Plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ferguson Plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Ferguson Plc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ferguson Plc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ferguson Plc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ferguson Plc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ferguson Plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ferguson Plc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ferguson Plc.
Mean Return
1.67
Value At Risk
-2.8
Potential Upside
2.35
Standard Deviation
16.20
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-113.87-85.04-56.21-27.390.025.0754.5784.07113.57143.07VARUpside 0.001300.001350.001400.001450.00150
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ferguson Plc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ferguson Plc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ferguson Plc or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ferguson Plc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ferguson stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.59
σ
Overall volatility
16.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Ferguson Plc Volatility Alert

Ferguson Plc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ferguson Plc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ferguson Plc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ferguson Plc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ferguson Plc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ferguson Plc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ferguson Plc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ferguson Plc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ferguson Plc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ferguson Plc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ferguson Plc to competition
FundamentalsFerguson PlcPeer Average
Return On Equity0.31-0.31
Return On Asset0.0965-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation29.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding200.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions91.92 %39.21 %
Price To Book5.98 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.88 X11.42 X
Revenue29.64 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.98 B3.9 B
Net Income1.74 B570.98 M
Total Debt5.52 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share28.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.87 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share6.51 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.39 X4.89 X
Target Price16275.28
Number Of Employees35 K18.84 K
Beta1.31-0.15
Market Capitalization26.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.57 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings9.59 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.19 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset16.57 B
Last Dividend Paid3.2

Ferguson Plc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ferguson . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ferguson Plc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ferguson Plc? Buying financial instruments such as Ferguson Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ferguson Plc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Entertainment Thematic Idea Now

Entertainment
Entertainment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Entertainment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Entertainment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Tools for Ferguson Stock Analysis

When running Ferguson Plc's price analysis, check to measure Ferguson Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferguson Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Ferguson Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferguson Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferguson Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferguson Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.