Paragon 28 Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FNA Stock  USD 9.86  0.18  1.79%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Paragon 28 is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Paragon 28 buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FNA positions.
  
Check out Paragon 28 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Paragon Stock refer to our How to Trade Paragon Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Paragon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Paragon 28. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Paragon 28 Buy or Sell Advice

The Paragon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Paragon 28. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Paragon 28 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Paragon 28's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Paragon 28Buy Paragon 28
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Paragon 28 has a Mean Deviation of 3.86, Semi Deviation of 4.05, Standard Deviation of 6.4, Variance of 41.01, Downside Variance of 18.66 and Semi Variance of 16.44
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Paragon 28. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Paragon 28 is not overpriced, please check all Paragon 28 fundamentals, including its cash per share, short ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio . Given that Paragon 28 has a number of shares shorted of 6.78 M, we recommend you to check out Paragon 28 market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Paragon 28 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Paragon 28 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 216.39 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (47.84 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 148.93 M.
Paragon 28 has about 73 M in cash with (63.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95.
Paragon 28 has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Glancy Prongay Murray LLP Reminds Investors of Looming Deadline in the Class Action ...

Paragon 28 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Paragon 28's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Paragon 28's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Paragon 28 daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Paragon 28 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Paragon 28 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Paragon 28.
Mean Return
0.57
Value At Risk
-6.3
Potential Upside
7.83
Standard Deviation
6.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Paragon 28 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Paragon Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
967.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
963.3 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
750.9 K
Eversept Partners, Llc2024-09-30
749.2 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
725.5 K
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-09-30
674.5 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
649.6 K
Park Edge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
598.9 K
Peregrine Capital Management,llc2024-09-30
491 K
Mvm Partners Llc2024-09-30
10.9 M
First Light Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
10.2 M
Note, although Paragon 28's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Paragon 28 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Paragon 28 or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Paragon 28's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Paragon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.76
σ
Overall volatility
6.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Paragon 28 Volatility Alert

Paragon 28 is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Paragon 28's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Paragon 28's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Paragon 28 Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Paragon 28's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Paragon 28's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Paragon 28 and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Paragon 28 or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Paragon 28's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paragon 28 by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Paragon 28 to competition
FundamentalsParagon 28Peer Average
Return On Equity-0.34-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0839-0.14
Profit Margin(0.23) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.14) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation912.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding83.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders40.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.25 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.78 M4.71 M
Price To Book6.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.43 X11.42 X
Revenue216.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit148.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA(21.77 M)3.9 B
Net Income(47.84 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents73 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.95 X5.01 X
Total Debt112.03 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.67 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(63.89 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio14.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.67) X3.12 X
Target Price14.33
Number Of Employees57418.84 K
Beta1.01-0.15
Market Capitalization840.55 M19.03 B
Total Asset340.7 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(115.63 M)9.33 B
Working Capital164.57 M1.48 B
Net Asset340.7 M
Note: Disposition of 7791 shares by Matthew Jarboe of Paragon 28 at 5.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Paragon 28 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Paragon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Paragon 28 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Paragon 28? Buying financial instruments such as Paragon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Paragon 28 in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Target Risk ETFs
Target Risk ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Target Risk ETFs theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Target Risk ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Paragon 28 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Paragon 28's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Paragon 28 Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Paragon 28 Stock:
Check out Paragon 28 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Paragon Stock refer to our How to Trade Paragon Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paragon 28. If investors know Paragon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paragon 28 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.67)
Revenue Per Share
2.95
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.181
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.34)
The market value of Paragon 28 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paragon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paragon 28's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paragon 28's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paragon 28's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paragon 28's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paragon 28's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paragon 28 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paragon 28's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.