Goodfellow Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GDL Stock  CAD 13.87  0.09  0.65%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Goodfellow is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Goodfellow's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Goodfellow Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Goodfellow and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Goodfellow. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Goodfellow Buy or Sell Advice

The Goodfellow recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Goodfellow. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Goodfellow or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Goodfellow's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GoodfellowBuy Goodfellow
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Goodfellow has a Mean Deviation of 1.3, Semi Deviation of 2.14, Standard Deviation of 1.96, Variance of 3.86, Downside Variance of 5.27 and Semi Variance of 4.59
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Goodfellow and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Goodfellow is not overpriced, please check out all Goodfellow fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and total debt .

Goodfellow Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has C$13.23 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Goodfellow Inc. Receives TSX Approval for Share Buyback - TipRanks

Goodfellow Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Goodfellow's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Goodfellow's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Goodfellow daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Goodfellow price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Goodfellow returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Goodfellow.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-2.38
Potential Upside
2.77
Standard Deviation
1.96
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Goodfellow historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Goodfellow Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash417K(2.3M)(1.9M)6.4M25.0M538.2K
Free Cash Flow10.0M31.9M21.1M39.1M45.0M47.3M
Depreciation7.8M7.3M7.7M8.6M2.9M3.6M
Other Non Cash Items1.7M1.4M(22.7M)1.5M1.3M1.4M
Dividends Paid1.7M7.3M7.7M8.5M3.4M3.7M
Capital Expenditures1.5M1.4M4.9M3.8M4.7M4.9M
Net Income13.8M37.8M32.7M14.7M6.6M9.7M
End Period Cash Flow(1.1M)(3.0M)3.4M28.4M32.6M34.3M
Change To Inventory2.6M(25.0M)(2.5M)13.8M(23.8M)(22.6M)
Net Borrowings(10.6M)(26.6M)(7.0M)27.8M25.0M26.3M
Change To Netincome3.9M3.6M(10.7M)(711K)(639.9K)(671.9K)
Investments(1.4M)(1.3M)(4.9M)(3.7M)(3.3M)(3.1M)

Goodfellow Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Goodfellow or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Goodfellow's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Goodfellow stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Goodfellow Volatility Alert

Goodfellow currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Goodfellow's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Goodfellow's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Goodfellow Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Goodfellow's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Goodfellow's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Goodfellow and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Goodfellow or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Goodfellow's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodfellow by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Goodfellow to competition
FundamentalsGoodfellowPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0661-0.31
Return On Asset0.0455-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation149.31 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions10.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3564.71 M
Price To Earning17.19 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.58 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.23 X11.42 X
Revenue512.82 M9.43 B
Gross Profit136.06 M27.38 B
EBITDA30.13 M3.9 B
Net Income14.69 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.94 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.35 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.23 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity60.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share23.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations42.97 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.54 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees68718.84 K
Beta1.06-0.15
Market Capitalization116.83 M19.03 B
Total Asset252.75 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings185.62 M9.33 B
Working Capital145.89 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return3.55 %

Goodfellow Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Goodfellow . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Goodfellow Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Goodfellow? Buying financial instruments such as Goodfellow Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Goodfellow Stock

Goodfellow financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodfellow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodfellow with respect to the benefits of owning Goodfellow security.