Genesis Energy Lp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GEL Stock  USD 11.74  0.04  0.34%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Genesis Energy LP is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Genesis Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Genesis Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Genesis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Genesis Energy LP. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Genesis Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Genesis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Genesis Energy LP. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Genesis Energy LP or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Genesis Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Genesis EnergyBuy Genesis Energy
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Genesis Energy LP has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.47) and Treynor Ratio of (0.13)
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Genesis Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Genesis Energy LP is not overpriced, please check out all Genesis Energy fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Genesis Energy LP has a price to earning of 24.01 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Genesis Energy LP market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Genesis Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Genesis Energy LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 Genesis Energy paid $ 0.165 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ALPS Advisors Incs Strategic Acquisition in Genesis Energy LP

Genesis Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Genesis Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Genesis Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Genesis Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Genesis Energy LP price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Genesis Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Genesis Energy.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-2.58
Potential Upside
3.25
Standard Deviation
2.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Genesis Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Genesis Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jefferies Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.3 M
Natixis Sa2024-09-30
1.3 M
Swank Energy Income Advisors, Lp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.1 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
1.1 M
Tortoise Midstream Energy Fund, Inc.2024-09-30
824.4 K
Infrastructure Capital Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
780.2 K
Ing Groep Nv2024-09-30
762.7 K
Alps Advisors Inc2024-09-30
19.1 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
17.7 M
Note, although Genesis Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Genesis Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory7.7M(34.7M)20.4M2.1M(37.6M)(35.7M)
Change In Cash46.1M(29.4M)(2.0M)1.6M1.5M2.4M
Free Cash Flow219.0M152.6M36.6M(89.8M)(98.9M)(93.9M)
Depreciation332.0M571.8M339.6M296.2M292.2M306.8M
Other Non Cash Items12.8M89.8M96.5M(23.3M)82.2M86.4M
Dividends Paid257.4M313.2M197.3M148.3M167.5M126.9M
Capital Expenditures163.2M144.1M301.4M424.2M620.0M651.0M
Net Income100.1M(400.3M)(138.0M)129.1M117.7M123.6M
End Period Cash Flow56.4M27.0M25.0M26.6M28.0M15.9M
Net Borrowings815.1M(27.4M)(428.5M)486.1M437.5M395.5M
Change To Netincome14.3M292.0M51.5M(14.8M)(17.0M)(16.1M)
Investments(140.8M)(103.8M)(352K)(10.3M)(593.6M)(623.3M)

Genesis Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Genesis Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Genesis Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Genesis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Genesis Energy Volatility Alert

Genesis Energy LP exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.69 and kurtosis of 8.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Genesis Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Genesis Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Genesis Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Genesis Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Genesis Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Genesis Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Genesis Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Genesis Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesis Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Genesis Energy to competition
FundamentalsGenesis EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0172-0.31
Return On Asset0.022-0.14
Profit Margin(0.0009) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding122.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders18.23 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions70.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.54 M4.71 M
Price To Earning24.01 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.21 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.48 X11.42 X
Revenue3.18 B9.43 B
Gross Profit637.82 M27.38 B
EBITDA609.61 M3.9 B
Net Income117.72 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.93 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt4 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.92 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.10 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations521.13 M971.22 M
Short Ratio9.42 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.74) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth11.35 X4.89 X
Target Price13.67
Number Of Employees2.11 K18.84 K
Beta2.09-0.15
Market Capitalization1.44 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(519.7 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(3.4 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ryan Sims of 1000 shares of Genesis Energy at 11.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Genesis Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Genesis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Genesis Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Genesis Energy LP? Buying financial instruments such as Genesis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Genesis Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Sports Thematic Idea Now

Sports
Sports Theme
Companies in sporting activities arena as well as manufacturers of sporting goods and sport retailers. The Sports theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Sports Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Genesis Energy LP is a strong investment it is important to analyze Genesis Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Genesis Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Genesis Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Genesis Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genesis Energy. If investors know Genesis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genesis Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.586
Dividend Share
0.615
Earnings Share
(0.74)
Revenue Per Share
24.612
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
The market value of Genesis Energy LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genesis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genesis Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genesis Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genesis Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genesis Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genesis Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genesis Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genesis Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.