Gevo Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GEVO Stock | USD 1.39 0.01 0.72% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Gevo Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Gevo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Gevo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gevo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gevo Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
Gevo |
Execute Gevo Buy or Sell Advice
The Gevo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gevo Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gevo Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gevo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Gevo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gevo Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gevo Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gevo Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (66.22 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.18 M). | |
| Gevo Inc currently holds about 422.58 M in cash with (53.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.82, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Gevo to Participate in Fireside Chat With H.C. Wainwright |
Gevo Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gevo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gevo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gevo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gevo Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gevo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gevo.
| Mean Return | 1.31 | Value At Risk | -10.11 | Potential Upside | 17.95 | Standard Deviation | 9.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gevo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gevo Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Gevo, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gevo Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 855.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 791.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 694.4 K | Rbf Llc | 2024-06-30 | 674.3 K | Crédit Agricole S.a. | 2024-06-30 | 598 K | Y-intercept (hong Kong) Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 582.5 K | Point72 Asia (singapore) Pte. Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 529 K | Centiva Capital Lp | 2024-06-30 | 490.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 486.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 17.1 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 5.2 M |
Gevo Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (17.4M) | 62.0M | 57.7M | 179.3M | 60.2M | 63.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.8M) | (25.2M) | (112.4M) | (128.4M) | (108.2M) | (102.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 6.7M | 5.9M | 5.1M | 7.9M | 19.0M | 20.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.4M | 2.7M | 89K | 28.8M | 806K | 765.7K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 6.0M | 5.9M | 68.8M | 75.8M | 54.5M | 57.2M | |
| Net Income | (28.7M) | (40.2M) | (59.2M) | (98.0M) | (66.2M) | (69.5M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 16.3M | 78.3M | 136.0M | 315.4M | 375.6M | 394.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | (35K) | 945K | (259K) | (2.0M) | 670K | 703.5K | |
| Investments | (1.5M) | (5.9M) | (342.8M) | 169.2M | 164.0M | 172.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (609K) | 608K | (257K) | 502K | 451.8K | 474.4K | |
| Net Borrowings | (524K) | 503K | 33.9M | (11.1M) | (12.8M) | (12.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 959K | 14.1M | 14.4M | 43.5M | 50.1M | 52.6M |
Gevo Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gevo or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gevo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gevo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gevo Volatility Alert
Gevo Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gevo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gevo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gevo Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gevo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gevo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gevo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gevo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gevo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gevo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gevo to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gevo | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0908 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (12.22) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 178 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 239.41 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 32.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.22) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 21.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 17.2 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (22.18 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (62.83 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (66.22 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 422.58 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.82 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 70.18 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 24.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.18 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (53.72 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.08 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.33) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.01) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.95 | |
| Number Of Employees | 101 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.95 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 332.78 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 650.32 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (721.6 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 294.96 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 22.64 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
Gevo Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gevo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Gevo Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gevo Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Gevo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Gevo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Data Storage Thematic Idea Now
Data Storage
Companies making data storages or providing data storage services. The Data Storage theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Data Storage Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Gevo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gevo. If investors know Gevo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gevo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.33) | Revenue Per Share 0.065 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.57) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (0.15) |
The market value of Gevo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gevo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gevo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gevo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gevo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gevo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gevo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gevo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gevo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.