Graham Holdings Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GHC Stock | USD 944.10 18.28 1.97% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Graham Holdings Co is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Graham Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GHC positions.
Check out Graham Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Graham and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Graham Holdings Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
Graham |
Execute Graham Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Graham recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Graham Holdings Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Graham Holdings Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Graham Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Graham Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 7th of November 2024 Graham Holdings paid $ 1.72 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Institutional Investors in Graham Holdings Company Faced a 4.0 percent Decline Last Week, While Long-Term Gains Have Been Achieved |
Graham Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Graham Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Graham Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Graham Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Graham Holdings Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Graham Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Graham Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.34 | Value At Risk | -2.48 | Potential Upside | 4.60 | Standard Deviation | 2.28 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Graham Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Graham Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 40.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 39.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 34.8 K | Raymond James Finl Svs Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 30.6 K | London Company Of Virginia | 2024-06-30 | 27.1 K | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2024-09-30 | 22.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 22.1 K | Bronte Capital Management Pty Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 19.5 K | Seizert Capital Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 19.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 432.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 356.1 K |
Graham Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (50.1M) | 209.0M | (264.2M) | 31.6M | 11.5M | 12.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 71.7M | 141.1M | 39.9M | 152.9M | 166.4M | 149.1M | |
| Depreciation | 205.8M | 251.2M | 236.0M | 328.7M | 203.8M | 187.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (248.7M) | (291.4M) | (346.3M) | (38.7M) | (198.4M) | (188.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 93.5M | 69.6M | 162.5M | 82.7M | 93.4M | 157.9M | |
| Net Income | 327.9M | 300.0M | 353.3M | 70.4M | 203.9M | 259.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 214.0M | 423.1M | 158.8M | 190.4M | 201.9M | 261.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (5.3M) | 3.8M | 4.6M | (64.3M) | (62.9M) | (59.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 29.6M | 30.0M | 30.1M | 30.7M | 31.0M | 42.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | (28.2M) | (243.9M) | (186.4M) | 132.4M | 119.1M | 125.1M | |
| Investments | 12.7M | 74.3M | 17.5M | 61.5M | (131.9M) | (125.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (53.6M) | 61.3M | (59.3M) | 41.6M | 47.9M | 50.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 41.0M | 80.0M | 208.3M | 75.2M | 86.5M | 123.9M |
Graham Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graham Holdings or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graham Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graham stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Graham Holdings Volatility Alert
Graham Holdings Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.99 and kurtosis of 8.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graham Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graham Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Graham Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Graham Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Graham Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Graham Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Graham Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Graham Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graham Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Graham Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Graham Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0594 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0326 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.67 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 53.75 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.00 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.85 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.27 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 571.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 203.94 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 169.32 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 162.98 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.25 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.25 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 924.01 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 259.88 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 51.20 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 685.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 14.11 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.11 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.01 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 7.34 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 619.62 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.86 B | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 378 shares by Katharine Weymouth of Graham Holdings at 949.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Graham Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graham . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Graham Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Graham Holdings Co? Buying financial instruments such as Graham Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Graham Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Chemicals Thematic Idea Now
Chemicals
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Chemicals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Graham Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Graham Holdings. If investors know Graham will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Graham Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.549 | Dividend Share 6.81 | Earnings Share 51.2 | Revenue Per Share 1.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
The market value of Graham Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Graham that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Graham Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Graham Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Graham Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Graham Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graham Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graham Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graham Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.