Canada Goose Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GOOS Stock  USD 9.70  0.34  3.63%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Canada Goose Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Canada Goose Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Canada Goose. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Canada Goose Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Canada Goose Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Canada and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Canada Goose Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Canada Goose Buy or Sell Advice

The Canada recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Canada Goose Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Canada Goose Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Canada Goose's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Canada GooseBuy Canada Goose
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Canada Goose Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.32), Total Risk Alpha of (0.67) and Treynor Ratio of (0.36)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Canada Goose Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Canada Goose is not overpriced, please confirm all Canada Goose Holdings fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, net asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Canada Goose Holdings has a price to earning of 36.57 X, we suggest you to validate Canada Goose Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Canada Goose Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Canada Goose generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Canada Goose has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 22nd Annual MIT Sloan CFO Summit Concludes with Innovative, Practical Insights

Canada Goose Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Canada Goose's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Canada Goose's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Canada Goose daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Canada Goose Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Canada Goose returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Canada Goose.
Mean Return
-0.23
Value At Risk
-4.21
Potential Upside
4.03
Standard Deviation
2.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Canada Goose historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Canada Stock Institutional Investors

The Canada Goose's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Canada Goose's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Pinnacle Associates Inc2024-09-30
602.3 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
601 K
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2024-06-30
597.7 K
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
479.5 K
Scp Investment, Lp2024-09-30
465 K
Armistice Capital, Llc2024-09-30
427 K
Mitsubishi Ufj Trust & Banking Corp2024-09-30
413.6 K
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
333.1 K
Bank Of Montreal2024-06-30
323.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
12.4 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-09-30
5.6 M
Note, although Canada Goose's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Canada Goose Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(141.8M)67M(60.7M)(49.9M)27.2M28.6M
Investments(62.3M)(32M)(37.2M)(45.3M)(72.4M)(68.8M)
Change In Cash(56.9M)446.2M(190.2M)(1.2M)(141.6M)(134.5M)
Free Cash Flow200K261.7M114.4M68.2M108.1M65.0M
Depreciation63.1M84.6M95.8M109.1M126M132.3M
Other Non Cash Items(42.2M)9.3M6.9M(25.9M)(58.1M)(55.2M)
Capital Expenditures62.3M32M37.2M48.1M56.5M37.9M
Net Income151.7M70.2M94.6M68.9M58.4M74.6M
End Period Cash Flow31.7M477.9M287.7M286.5M144.9M144.3M
Change To Netincome7.8M(21.7M)36.4M44M50.6M53.1M

Canada Goose Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canada Goose or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canada Goose's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canada stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Canada Goose Volatility Alert

Canada Goose Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.67 and kurtosis of 2.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Canada Goose's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Canada Goose's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Canada Goose Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Canada Goose's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Canada Goose's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Canada Goose and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Canada Goose or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Canada Goose's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canada Goose by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Canada Goose to competition
FundamentalsCanada GoosePeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0578-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.5 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding45.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.56 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.40 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.25 M4.71 M
Price To Earning36.57 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.69 X11.42 X
Revenue1.34 B9.43 B
Gross Profit733.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA244.3 M3.9 B
Net Income58.4 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents81.8 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.78 X5.01 X
Total Debt728.4 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.98 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.42 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.70 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations164.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio12.66 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.41 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.02 X4.89 X
Target Price10.06
Number Of Employees4.46 K18.84 K
Beta1.29-0.15
Market Capitalization907.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings252.5 M9.33 B
Working Capital430.9 M1.48 B

Canada Goose Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Canada . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Canada Goose Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Canada Goose Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Canada Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Canada Stock Analysis

When running Canada Goose's price analysis, check to measure Canada Goose's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canada Goose is operating at the current time. Most of Canada Goose's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canada Goose's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canada Goose's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canada Goose to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.