Geovax Labs Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GOVXW Stock  USD 0.13  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding GeoVax Labs is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell GeoVax Labs given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for GeoVax Labs, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out GeoVax Labs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy GeoVax Stock please use our How to Invest in GeoVax Labs guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GeoVax and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. GeoVax Labs. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute GeoVax Labs Buy or Sell Advice

The GeoVax recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GeoVax Labs. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GeoVax Labs or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GeoVax Labs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell GeoVax LabsBuy GeoVax Labs
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves completely opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon GeoVax Labs has a Mean Deviation of 11.16, Semi Deviation of 10.57, Standard Deviation of 15.44, Variance of 238.44, Downside Variance of 197.61 and Semi Variance of 111.83
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on GeoVax Labs. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure GeoVax Labs is not overpriced, please check out all GeoVax Labs fundamentals, including its total debt and the relationship between the cash flow from operations and net asset . As GeoVax Labs appears to be a penny stock we also urge to confirm its total debt numbers.

GeoVax Labs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

GeoVax Labs is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GeoVax Labs has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GeoVax Labs appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
GeoVax Labs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
GeoVax Labs has accumulated 3.52 M in total debt. GeoVax Labs has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about GeoVax Labs' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (25.97 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.58 M).
GeoVax Labs has accumulated about 710.68 K in cash with (25.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

GeoVax Labs Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of GeoVax Labs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GeoVax Labs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GeoVax Labs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GeoVax Labs price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GeoVax Labs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GeoVax Labs.
Mean Return
1.06
Value At Risk
-16.67
Potential Upside
28.57
Standard Deviation
15.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GeoVax Labs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

GeoVax Labs Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash9.6M1.5M16.2M(21.2M)(24.3M)(23.1M)
Free Cash Flow(2.9M)(11.2M)(19.2M)(25.2M)(22.7M)(21.6M)
Depreciation19.7K38.5K56.3K74.2K66.8K63.4K
Other Non Cash Items124.2K37.8K3.7M(1.2T)(1.1T)(1.0T)
Capital Expenditures156.8K47.7K134.3K48.9K56.3K53.5K
Net Income(3.0M)(18.6M)(14.0M)(26.0M)(23.4M)(22.2M)
End Period Cash Flow9.9M11.4M27.6M6.5M7.4M7.8M
Investments(156.8K)(47.7K)(134.3K)(48.9K)(44.1K)(46.3K)

GeoVax Labs Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GeoVax Labs or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GeoVax Labs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GeoVax stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.45
σ
Overall volatility
15.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

GeoVax Labs Volatility Alert

GeoVax Labs is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. GeoVax Labs is a potential penny stock. Although GeoVax Labs may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in GeoVax Labs. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on GeoVax instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

GeoVax Labs Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing GeoVax Labs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GeoVax Labs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GeoVax Labs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GeoVax Labs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GeoVax Labs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GeoVax Labs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare GeoVax Labs to competition
FundamentalsGeoVax LabsPeer Average
Return On Equity-3.62-0.31
Return On Asset-1.34-0.14
Operating Margin(16.84) %(5.51) %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.49 K4.71 M
Gross Profit(21.58 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(26.67 M)3.9 B
Net Income(25.97 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents710.68 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.52 M5.32 B
Current Ratio0.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.92 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(25.17 M)971.22 M
Number Of Employees1718.84 K
Beta3.11-0.15
Total Asset9.28 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(104.36 M)9.33 B
Working Capital4.37 M1.48 B
Net Asset9.28 M
Note: Acquisition by Reynolds Mark of 60184 shares of GeoVax Labs at 5.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

GeoVax Labs Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GeoVax . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About GeoVax Labs Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell GeoVax Labs? Buying financial instruments such as GeoVax Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having GeoVax Labs in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Basic Utilities
Basic Utilities Theme
Companies involved in production and distribution of electric, gas, water, and other energy utilities. The Basic Utilities theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Basic Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for GeoVax Stock Analysis

When running GeoVax Labs' price analysis, check to measure GeoVax Labs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GeoVax Labs is operating at the current time. Most of GeoVax Labs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GeoVax Labs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GeoVax Labs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GeoVax Labs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.