Warrior Met Coal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HCC Stock | USD 53.46 0.31 0.58% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Warrior Met Coal is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Warrior Met buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HCC positions.
Check out Warrior Met Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Warrior and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Warrior Met Coal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Warrior |
Execute Warrior Met Buy or Sell Advice
The Warrior recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Warrior Met Coal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Warrior Met Coal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Warrior Met's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Warrior Met Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Warrior Met Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Warrior Met Coal Sets Q4 2024 Earnings Call for February 13 - StockTitan |
Warrior Met Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Warrior Met's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Warrior Met's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Warrior Met daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Warrior Met Coal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Warrior Met returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Warrior Met.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -3.81 | Potential Upside | 3.77 | Standard Deviation | 2.61 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Warrior Met historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Warrior Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 923.2 K | River Road Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 870.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 851 K | Third Avenue Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 795.4 K | Merewether Investment Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 793.3 K | Dalal Street Llc | 2024-09-30 | 698.4 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 671.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 602.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 7.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.9 M |
Warrior Met Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (13.5M) | 45.7M | (79.8M) | (30.8M) | (27.7M) | (26.3M) | |
| Investments | 6.2M | (71.1M) | (255.1M) | (443.2M) | (398.9M) | (379.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | 18.5M | 183.9M | 433.6M | (91.3M) | (105.0M) | (99.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (157.5M) | 40M | (419.3M) | (69.7M) | (62.8M) | (59.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 25.1M | 293.7M | 633.2M | 209.4M | 240.8M | 259.8M | |
| Depreciation | 118.1M | (58.5M) | 3.2M | 2.1M | 1.9M | 1.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.2M | 216.3M | 121.3M | 143.6M | 165.1M | 83.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.4M | 10.5M | 79.7M | (61.1M) | (55.0M) | (52.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 87.5M | 57.9M | 208.7M | 491.7M | 565.4M | 593.7M | |
| Net Income | (35.8M) | 150.9M | 641.3M | 478.6M | 550.4M | 277.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 211.9M | 395.8M | 829.5M | 738.2M | 848.9M | 891.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 110.1M | 7.1M | 69.7M | 161.9M | 186.2M | 195.5M | |
| Change Receivables | (16.8M) | 38.7M | 12.9M | (41.7M) | (48.0M) | (45.6M) |
Warrior Met Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Warrior Met or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Warrior Met's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Warrior stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Warrior Met Volatility Alert
Warrior Met Coal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.61 and kurtosis of 1.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Warrior Met's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Warrior Met's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Warrior Met Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Warrior Met's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Warrior Met's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Warrior Met and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Warrior Met or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Warrior Met's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Warrior Met by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Warrior Met to competition |
| Fundamentals | Warrior Met | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.31 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 52.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.31 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.84 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.77 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.68 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 593.28 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 700.91 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 478.63 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 829.48 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.48 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 173.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.71 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 39.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 701.11 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.13 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.26 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 73.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.04 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.81 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.36 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.65 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 921.5 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 355.15 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 3598 shares by Ana Amicarella of Warrior Met subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Warrior Met Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Warrior . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17908.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.64 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.31) |
About Warrior Met Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Warrior Met Coal? Buying financial instruments such as Warrior Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Warrior Met in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Financials ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Financials ETFs theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Warrior Met Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warrior Met. If investors know Warrior will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warrior Met listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.51) | Dividend Share 0.31 | Earnings Share 7.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of Warrior Met Coal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warrior that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warrior Met's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warrior Met's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warrior Met's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warrior Met's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warrior Met's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warrior Met is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warrior Met's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.