Holmen AB (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HL9C Stock | EUR 35.16 0.16 0.45% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Holmen AB is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Holmen AB buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HL9C positions.
Check out Holmen AB Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Holmen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Holmen AB. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Holmen |
Execute Holmen AB Buy or Sell Advice
The Holmen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Holmen AB. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Holmen AB or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Holmen AB's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Holmen AB Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Holmen AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Holmen AB has accumulated 3.9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 21.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Holmen AB has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Holmen AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Holmen AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Holmen AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Holmen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Holmen AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 21.0% of Holmen AB shares are held by company insiders |
Holmen AB Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Holmen AB's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Holmen AB's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Holmen AB daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Holmen AB price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Holmen AB returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Holmen AB.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -2.63 | Potential Upside | 2.08 | Standard Deviation | 1.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Holmen AB historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Holmen AB Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Holmen AB or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Holmen AB's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Holmen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Holmen AB Volatility Alert
Holmen AB exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.05 and kurtosis of 0.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Holmen AB's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Holmen AB's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Holmen AB Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Holmen AB's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Holmen AB's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Holmen AB and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Holmen AB or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Holmen AB's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Holmen AB by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Holmen AB to competition |
| Fundamentals | Holmen AB | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0586 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | (1.27) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.2 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 116.75 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 40.92 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 19.91 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.27 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.08 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 19.48 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 13.24 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3 B | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 3.9 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 21.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.29 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.23 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.01 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 3.47 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.34 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 68.1 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.42 % | |
| Net Asset | 68.1 B |
Holmen AB Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Holmen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) |
About Holmen AB Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Holmen AB? Buying financial instruments such as Holmen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Holmen Stock
Holmen AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holmen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holmen with respect to the benefits of owning Holmen AB security.