Hellofresh Se Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HLFFF Stock  USD 11.86  0.39  3.18%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding HelloFresh SE is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides HelloFresh buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HLFFF positions.
  
Check out HelloFresh Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as HelloFresh and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. HelloFresh SE. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute HelloFresh Buy or Sell Advice

The HelloFresh recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on HelloFresh SE. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in HelloFresh SE or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute HelloFresh's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell HelloFreshBuy HelloFresh
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon HelloFresh SE has a Mean Deviation of 3.71, Semi Deviation of 3.79, Standard Deviation of 6.4, Variance of 41.0, Downside Variance of 57.08 and Semi Variance of 14.34
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on HelloFresh and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure HelloFresh SE is not overpriced, please check out all HelloFresh fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that HelloFresh SE has a shares owned by institutions of 68.48 %, we strongly advise you to confirm HelloFresh SE market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

HelloFresh Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

HelloFresh SE is way too risky over 90 days horizon
HelloFresh SE appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

HelloFresh Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of HelloFresh's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of HelloFresh's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of HelloFresh daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use HelloFresh SE price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of HelloFresh returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for HelloFresh.
Mean Return
0.81
Value At Risk
-9.87
Potential Upside
11.64
Standard Deviation
6.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of HelloFresh historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

HelloFresh Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HelloFresh or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HelloFresh's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HelloFresh pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.87
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.62
σ
Overall volatility
6.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

HelloFresh Volatility Alert

HelloFresh SE is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure HelloFresh's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact HelloFresh's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

HelloFresh Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing HelloFresh's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze HelloFresh's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between HelloFresh and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as HelloFresh or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of HelloFresh's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HelloFresh by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare HelloFresh to competition
FundamentalsHelloFreshPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0573-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.05 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding171.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.88 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions68.48 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.94 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.53 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.58 X11.42 X
Revenue5.99 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.95 B27.38 B
EBITDA500.6 M3.9 B
Net Income256.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents603.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt155 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.58 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations458.6 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.88 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees14.63 K18.84 K
Beta0.29-0.15
Market Capitalization4.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.21 B29.47 B
Z Score20.08.72
Net Asset2.21 B

HelloFresh Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as HelloFresh . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About HelloFresh Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell HelloFresh SE? Buying financial instruments such as HelloFresh Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having HelloFresh in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Cap ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Large Cap ETFs theme has 676 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Cap ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in HelloFresh Pink Sheet

HelloFresh financial ratios help investors to determine whether HelloFresh Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HelloFresh with respect to the benefits of owning HelloFresh security.