Hallador Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HNRG Stock | USD 12.91 0.04 0.31% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hallador Energy is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hallador Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HNRG positions.
Check out Hallador Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Hallador Stock please use our How to Invest in Hallador Energy guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hallador and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hallador Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Hallador |
Execute Hallador Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Hallador recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hallador Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hallador Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hallador Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Hallador Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hallador Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hallador Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Hallador Energy currently holds 119.69 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hallador Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Hallador Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of Hallador Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 388 shares by Hardie David C of Hallador Energy at 12.9142 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hallador Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hallador Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hallador Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hallador Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hallador Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hallador Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hallador Energy.
| Mean Return | 1.33 | Value At Risk | -5.09 | Potential Upside | 10.23 | Standard Deviation | 5.51 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hallador Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hallador Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 561 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 517.4 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 516.7 K | Empyrean Capital Partners, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 500 K | Apis Capital Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 434 K | Alta Fundamental Advisers Llc | 2024-06-30 | 420.4 K | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 402.5 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 377.2 K | National Asset Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 376.2 K | Aegis Financial Corporation | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M |
Hallador Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (6.8M) | (1.2M) | (6.2M) | 597K | 697K | 731.9K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.7M | 31.9M | 19.9M | 149K | (15.9M) | (15.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 125.5M | 41.9M | 28.2M | 46.9M | 69.0M | 72.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.4M | 3.7M | 558K | (19.7M) | (36.9M) | (35.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 35.5M | 20.7M | 28.1M | 54.0M | 75.4M | 79.1M | |
| Net Income | (59.9M) | (6.2M) | (3.8M) | 18.1M | 44.8M | 47.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.3M | 12.1M | 5.8M | 6.4M | 7.1M | 11.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 54.8M | 1.4M | (14.3M) | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (1.9M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (10.7M) | 5.8M | 15.9M | (32.1M) | 5.0M | 5.2M | |
| Investments | 2.3M | 2.4M | (27.5M) | (53.4M) | (64.5M) | (61.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (7.3M) | 11.2M | 830K | (16.3M) | (14.7M) | (13.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (9.5M) | (34.3M) | (26.0M) | 378K | 340.2K | 323.2K |
Hallador Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hallador Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hallador Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hallador stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Hallador Energy Volatility Alert
Hallador Energy shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hallador Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hallador Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hallador Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hallador Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hallador Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hallador Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hallador Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hallador Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hallador Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hallador Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hallador Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0697 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0109 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 630.56 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.62 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.02 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 58.43 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.34 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.28 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 634.48 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 95.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 131.98 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 44.79 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.88 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.27 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 119.69 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.69 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.48 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 59.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.89 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.58) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 936 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 550.19 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 637.98 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 140.7 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (66.32 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 66.61 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 388 shares by Hardie David C of Hallador Energy at 12.9142 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hallador Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hallador . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hallador Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hallador Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Hallador Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Hallador Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Hallador Stock please use our How to Invest in Hallador Energy guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hallador Energy. If investors know Hallador will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hallador Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share (0.58) | Revenue Per Share 11.555 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Hallador Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hallador that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hallador Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hallador Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hallador Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hallador Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hallador Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hallador Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hallador Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.