Caravelle International Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HTCO Stock  USD 3.77  0.17  4.31%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Caravelle International Group is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Caravelle International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Caravelle International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Caravelle and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Caravelle International Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Caravelle International Buy or Sell Advice

The Caravelle recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Caravelle International Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Caravelle International Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Caravelle International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Caravelle InternationalBuy Caravelle International
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very WeakDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Caravelle International Group has a Mean Deviation of 9.04, Semi Deviation of 5.93, Standard Deviation of 13.32, Variance of 177.42, Downside Variance of 65.31 and Semi Variance of 35.22
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Caravelle International. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Caravelle International is not overpriced, please confirm all Caravelle International fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the revenue and earnings per share . Given that Caravelle International has a number of shares shorted of 32.81 K, we suggest you to validate Caravelle International Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Caravelle International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Caravelle International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Caravelle International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Caravelle International Group was previously known as CACO Old and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CACO.
Caravelle International Group currently holds 4.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Caravelle International has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Caravelle International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 80.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (570.17 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Caravelle International Group currently holds about (1.17 K) in cash recording (142.85 K) of negative cash flow from operations.
Caravelle International has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 76.0% of Caravelle International shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Thursdays Pre-Market Session - Benzinga

Caravelle International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Caravelle International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Caravelle International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Caravelle International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Caravelle International Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Caravelle International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Caravelle International.
Mean Return
3.78
Value At Risk
-12
Potential Upside
41.54
Standard Deviation
13.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Caravelle International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Caravelle International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Caravelle International or Marine Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Caravelle International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Caravelle stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
11.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Caravelle International Volatility Alert

Caravelle International Group is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Caravelle International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Caravelle International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Caravelle International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Caravelle International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Caravelle International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Caravelle International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Caravelle International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Caravelle International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caravelle International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Caravelle International to competition
FundamentalsCaravelle InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity-6.65-0.31
Return On Asset-0.23-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation213.67 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding91.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders76.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted32.81 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(83.33) X28.72 X
Price To Book9.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.89 X11.42 X
Revenue80.57 M9.43 B
EBITDA(8.66 M)3.9 B
Net Income(570.17 K)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents(1.17 K)2.7 B
Total Debt4.15 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.86 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.19 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.1) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(142.85 K)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.13 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.11) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees3118.84 K
Beta-0.12-0.15
Market Capitalization232.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset8.43 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(4.96 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(7.34 M)1.48 B
Current Asset43.26 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities30.37 M7.9 B
Net Asset8.43 M
Note: Acquisition by Parker Dale E of 675 shares of Caravelle International at 9.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Caravelle International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Caravelle . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Caravelle International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Caravelle International Group? Buying financial instruments such as Caravelle Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Caravelle International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Caravelle International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Caravelle International Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Caravelle International Group Stock:
Check out Caravelle International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caravelle International. If investors know Caravelle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caravelle International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.11)
Revenue Per Share
1.526
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(6.65)
The market value of Caravelle International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caravelle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caravelle International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caravelle International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caravelle International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caravelle International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caravelle International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caravelle International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caravelle International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.