Heartland Financial Usa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HTLF Stock | USD 66.30 1.50 2.31% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Heartland Financial USA is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Heartland Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HTLF positions.
Check out Heartland Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Heartland and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Heartland Financial USA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Heartland |
Execute Heartland Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Heartland recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Heartland Financial USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Heartland Financial USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Heartland Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Heartland Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from pymnts.com: Federal Reserve Bars CEO Convicted of Embezzlement From Banking Industry |
Heartland Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Heartland Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Heartland Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Heartland Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Heartland Financial USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Heartland Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Heartland Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.38 | Value At Risk | -2.49 | Potential Upside | 3.75 | Standard Deviation | 2.49 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Heartland Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Heartland Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 710.9 K | Cnh Partners, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 688.1 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 592.2 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 512.2 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 502.8 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 456 K | Balyasny Asset Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 447.9 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 415.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 395.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.1 M |
Heartland Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 105.1M | (40.8M) | 97.7M | (72.5M) | (40.1M) | (38.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 143.2M | 171.8M | 308.8M | 373.2M | 273.3M | 286.9M | |
| Depreciation | 30.8M | 27.3M | 26.9M | 24.5M | 20.4M | 19.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (17.6M) | 45.0M | 62.1M | 162.4M | 146.2M | 153.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 24.6M | 31.9M | 48.6M | 54.2M | 59.2M | 62.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.9M | 18.5M | 17.2M | 14.8M | 7.1M | 12.0M | |
| Net Income | 149.1M | 137.9M | 219.9M | 212.2M | 79.9M | 59.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 378.7M | 337.9M | 435.6M | 363.1M | 323.0M | 168.8M | |
| Investments | (629.4M) | (2.9B) | (1.5B) | (1.8B) | (548.2M) | (575.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | 1.3M | (10.0M) | (1.6M) | (17.5M) | (15.8M) | (15.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (106.6M) | 139.1M | (122.5M) | 244.3M | 280.9M | 295.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 10.3M | 36.7M | 41.5M | 38.6M | 44.4M | 26.7M |
Heartland Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Heartland Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Heartland Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Heartland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Heartland Financial Volatility Alert
Heartland Financial USA has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.61 and kurtosis of 12.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Heartland Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Heartland Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Heartland Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Heartland Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Heartland Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Heartland Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Heartland Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Heartland Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heartland Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Heartland Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Heartland Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.043 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0044 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.23 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.74 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 608.33 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.64 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.37 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.98 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 553.28 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 707.14 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 126.92 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 79.92 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 406.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.02 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 10.60 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 47.33 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 280.31 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.78 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.66 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 67.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.73 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.94 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.84 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 19.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.14 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.63 % |
Note: Disposition of 4000 shares by Hylen Christopher of Heartland Financial at 54.405 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Heartland Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Heartland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Heartland Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Heartland Financial USA? Buying financial instruments such as Heartland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Heartland Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heartland Financial. If investors know Heartland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heartland Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.336 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 1.78 | Revenue Per Share 13.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.148 |
The market value of Heartland Financial USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heartland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heartland Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heartland Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heartland Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heartland Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heartland Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heartland Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heartland Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.