Heartland Financial Usa Stock Price Prediction

HTLF Stock  USD 66.30  1.50  2.31%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Heartland Financial's the stock price is roughly 68. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Heartland, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Heartland Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Heartland Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Heartland Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Heartland Financial USA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Heartland Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.336
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.16
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.595
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.275
Wall Street Target Price
67.375
Using Heartland Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Heartland Financial USA from the perspective of Heartland Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Heartland Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Heartland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Heartland Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 65.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Heartland Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.7155.1372.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.9964.4166.83
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.7636.0039.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.131.161.17
Details

Heartland Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Heartland Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Heartland Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Heartland Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Heartland Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Heartland Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Heartland Financial's historical news coverage. Heartland Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63.36 and 68.20, respectively. We have considered Heartland Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
66.30
65.78
After-hype Price
68.20
Upside
Heartland Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Heartland Financial USA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Heartland Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Heartland Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Heartland Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Heartland Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.43
  0.57 
  0.04 
11 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
66.30
65.78
0.78 
140.46  
Notes

Heartland Financial Hype Timeline

Heartland Financial USA is currently traded for 66.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Heartland is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 65.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 140.46%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.78%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Heartland Financial is about 1991.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.34. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Heartland Financial USA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 30th of December 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Heartland Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Heartland Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Heartland Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Heartland Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Heartland Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Heartland Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp(0.05)7 per month 1.40  0.03  3.53 (2.24) 17.09 
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares 0.14 8 per month 1.70  0.1  3.20 (3.48) 17.85 
GABCGerman American Bancorp 0.97 9 per month 1.13  0.08  2.89 (2.21) 16.97 
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares(0.08)12 per month 1.18  0.18  4.02 (2.57) 13.69 
PGCPeapack Gladstone Financial 0.42 8 per month 1.70  0.16  5.93 (3.32) 17.97 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.45)9 per month 1.77  0.04  4.31 (2.85) 20.29 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp(0.03)8 per month 1.71  0.03  3.56 (3.32) 19.09 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.38)9 per month 1.61  0.07  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
BYByline Bancorp 0.38 8 per month 1.31  0.07  3.62 (2.51) 20.72 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.12  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.70 (0.01) 4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)9 per month 1.11  0.03  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.24 6 per month 0.75 (0.08) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.50 8 per month 0.73  0.07  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
HBCPHome Bancorp 0.59 9 per month 1.74  0.08  3.76 (3.12) 12.98 

Heartland Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Heartland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Heartland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Heartland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Heartland Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Heartland Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Heartland Financial USA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heartland Financial based on analysis of Heartland Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Heartland Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Heartland Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02270.02740.03680.0387
Price To Sales Ratio3.12.722.94.17

Story Coverage note for Heartland Financial

The number of cover stories for Heartland Financial depends on current market conditions and Heartland Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Heartland Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Heartland Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Heartland Financial Short Properties

Heartland Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Heartland Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Heartland Financial USA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Heartland Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heartland Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments323 M

Complementary Tools for Heartland Stock analysis

When running Heartland Financial's price analysis, check to measure Heartland Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heartland Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Heartland Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heartland Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heartland Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heartland Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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