Hycroft Mining Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HYMCL Stock | USD 0.02 0.0001 0.50% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Hycroft Mining Holding is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Hycroft Mining's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Hycroft Mining Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hycroft and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hycroft Mining Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Hycroft |
Execute Hycroft Mining Buy or Sell Advice
The Hycroft recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hycroft Mining Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hycroft Mining Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hycroft Mining's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Hycroft Mining Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hycroft Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hycroft Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hycroft Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hycroft Mining has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (55.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Hycroft Mining Holding has accumulated about 157.97 M in cash with (41.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 55066 shares by Mudrick Capital Management, L.p. of Hycroft Mining at 0.099 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hycroft Mining Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hycroft Mining's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hycroft Mining's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hycroft Mining daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hycroft Mining Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hycroft Mining returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hycroft Mining.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -14.29 | Potential Upside | 18.18 | Standard Deviation | 8.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hycroft Mining historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hycroft Mining Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (39.6M) | (47.6M) | 22.8M | 17.3M | 479K | 503.0K | |
| Change In Cash | (3.9M) | 47.1M | (49.4M) | 129.3M | (43.4M) | (41.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (72.1M) | (143.9M) | (44.0M) | (35.8M) | (42.5M) | (44.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.1M | 5.9M | 8.4M | 3.4M | 3.9M | 3.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 53.4M | 41.3M | 17.2M | 10.5M | 7.5M | 7.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 12.3M | 33.4M | 7.0M | 951K | 1.1M | 1.0M | |
| Net Income | (98.9M) | (132.7M) | (88.6M) | (60.8M) | (55.0M) | (57.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 49.0M | 96.0M | 46.6M | 176.0M | 132.6M | 74.9M |
Hycroft Mining Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hycroft Mining or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hycroft Mining's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hycroft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Hycroft Mining Volatility Alert
Hycroft Mining Holding is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Hycroft Mining Holding is a penny stock. Although Hycroft Mining may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Hycroft Mining Holding. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Hycroft instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Hycroft Mining Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hycroft Mining's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hycroft Mining's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hycroft Mining and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hycroft Mining or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hycroft Mining's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hycroft Mining by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hycroft Mining to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hycroft Mining | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -4.39 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.18 | -0.14 |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.75 K | 4.71 M |
| EBITDA | (32.66 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (55.02 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 157.97 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.79 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 144.98 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.60 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 11.60 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.96) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (41.45 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.54) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 78 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.05 | -0.15 |
| Total Asset | 201.69 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (725.17 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 101.82 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 201.69 M |
Note: Disposition of 55066 shares by Mudrick Capital Management, L.p. of Hycroft Mining at 0.099 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hycroft Mining Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hycroft . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hycroft Mining Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hycroft Mining Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Hycroft Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Hycroft Mining Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hycroft Mining. If investors know Hycroft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hycroft Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.54) | Revenue Per Share 0.571 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.52) | Return On Assets (0.18) | Return On Equity (4.39) |
The market value of Hycroft Mining Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hycroft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hycroft Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hycroft Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hycroft Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hycroft Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hycroft Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hycroft Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hycroft Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.