Ultimus Managers Trust Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

INVTX Fund  USD 22.10  0.05  0.23%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ultimus Managers Trust is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ultimus Managers Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ultimus Managers. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ultimus Managers Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ultimus Managers Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Ultimus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ultimus Managers Trust. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Ultimus Managers Buy or Sell Advice

The Ultimus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ultimus Managers Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ultimus Managers Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ultimus Managers' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ultimus ManagersBuy Ultimus Managers
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ultimus Managers Trust has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1794, Jensen Alpha of 0.1094, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0595, Sortino Ratio of 0.0912 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2335
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Ultimus Managers Trust. It analyzes the fund potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. Be advised to validate Ultimus Managers net asset to validate our buy or sell recommendation.

Ultimus Managers Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Ultimus Managers Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ultimus Managers' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ultimus Managers' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ultimus Managers daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ultimus Managers Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ultimus Managers returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ultimus Managers.
Mean Return
0.25
Value At Risk
-1.69
Potential Upside
1.72
Standard Deviation
1.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ultimus Managers historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ultimus Managers Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ultimus Managers or Evolutionary Tree sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ultimus Managers' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ultimus fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Ultimus Managers Volatility Alert

Ultimus Managers Trust has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.39 and kurtosis of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ultimus Managers' mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ultimus Managers' mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ultimus Managers Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ultimus Managers' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ultimus Managers' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ultimus Managers and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ultimus Managers or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ultimus Managers' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultimus Managers by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ultimus Managers to competition
FundamentalsUltimus ManagersPeer Average
Net Asset27.49 M4.11 B

Ultimus Managers Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ultimus . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ultimus Managers Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ultimus Managers Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Ultimus Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ultimus Managers in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now

Recreation
Recreation Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Recreation theme has 33 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Other Information on Investing in Ultimus Mutual Fund

Ultimus Managers financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ultimus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ultimus with respect to the benefits of owning Ultimus Managers security.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments