Innospec Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

IOSP Stock  USD 118.34  0.09  0.08%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Innospec is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Innospec given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Innospec. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Innospec, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Innospec Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Innospec Stock, please use our How to Invest in Innospec guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Innospec and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Innospec. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Innospec Buy or Sell Advice

The Innospec recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Innospec. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Innospec or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Innospec's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell InnospecBuy Innospec
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Innospec has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0612, Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of (0.09), Sortino Ratio of 0.037 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0642
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Innospec to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Innospec. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Innospec is not overpriced, please check out all Innospec fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Innospec has a price to earning of 96.38 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Innospec market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Innospec Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Milton Blackmore Sells Shares of Innospec Inc

Innospec Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Innospec's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Innospec's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Innospec daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Innospec price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Innospec returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Innospec.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-2.1
Potential Upside
2.24
Standard Deviation
2.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Innospec historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Innospec Stock Institutional Investors

The Innospec's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Innospec's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
475 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
394.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
336.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
311.6 K
Westwood Holdings Group Inc2024-06-30
267.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
258.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
237.2 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
214 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
202.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Note, although Innospec's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Innospec Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory2.4M25.5M(62M)(98.5M)83M87.2M
Change In Cash(47.4M)29.6M36.5M5.3M56.6M59.4M
Free Cash Flow130.6M116.2M54.1M39.4M130.1M136.6M
Depreciation47.6M46M42.7M40.1M39.3M30.4M
Other Non Cash Items(5.3M)(6.5M)17.8M(2.5M)(3.3M)(3.5M)
Capital Expenditures31M29.7M39.1M42.3M62.1M65.2M
Net Income112.2M28.7M93.1M133M139.1M146.1M
End Period Cash Flow75.7M105.3M141.8M147.1M203.7M213.9M
Dividends Paid25M25.6M28.8M31.7M35.1M36.9M
Investments(31M)(29.7M)(36.2M)(42.1M)(71.1M)(67.5M)
Change Receivables(18.2M)74.4M(70.3M)(55.5M)(50.0M)(47.5M)
Net Borrowings(69.2M)(61.4M)(600K)(100K)(90K)(85.5K)
Change To Netincome5.4M25.1M5.5M1.2M1.4M1.4M

Innospec Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Innospec or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Innospec's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Innospec stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.19
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Innospec Volatility Alert

Innospec has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.11 and kurtosis of 18.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Innospec's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Innospec's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Innospec Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Innospec's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Innospec's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Innospec and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Innospec or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Innospec's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Innospec by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Innospec to competition
FundamentalsInnospecPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0724-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted226.41 K4.71 M
Price To Earning96.38 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.34 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.57 X11.42 X
Revenue1.95 B9.43 B
Gross Profit586.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA161.6 M3.9 B
Net Income139.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents71.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.88 X5.01 X
Total Debt45.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share49.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations207.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.73 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(2.95) X4.89 X
Target Price132.5
Number Of Employees2.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization2.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.03 B9.33 B
Working Capital514.2 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1035 shares by Blackmore Milton C of Innospec at 43.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Innospec Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Innospec . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Innospec Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Innospec? Buying financial instruments such as Innospec Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Innospec in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Innospec Stock Analysis

When running Innospec's price analysis, check to measure Innospec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innospec is operating at the current time. Most of Innospec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innospec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innospec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innospec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.