Illinois Tool Works Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ITW Stock  USD 269.85  3.47  1.30%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Illinois Tool Works is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Illinois Tool Works given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Illinois Tool. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Illinois Tool Works, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Illinois Tool Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Illinois and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Illinois Tool Works. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Illinois Tool Buy or Sell Advice

The Illinois recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Illinois Tool Works. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Illinois Tool Works or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Illinois Tool's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Illinois ToolBuy Illinois Tool
Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Illinois Tool Works has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1151, Jensen Alpha of 0.0659, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0264, Sortino Ratio of 0.0709 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1608
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Illinois Tool to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Illinois Tool Works. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Illinois Tool Works is not overpriced, please check out all Illinois Tool fundamentals, including its price to sales, short ratio, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Illinois Tool Works has a price to earning of 26.14 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Illinois Tool Works market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Illinois Tool Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Illinois Tool Works is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of October 2024 Illinois Tool paid $ 1.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commercial Combi Ovens Market to Grow by USD 1.52 Billion as AI Impacts Market Trends, Demand for Energy-Efficient Ovens Boosts Revenue - Technavio

Illinois Tool Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Illinois Tool's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Illinois Tool's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Illinois Tool daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Illinois Tool Works price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Illinois Tool returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Illinois Tool.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-1.33
Potential Upside
1.53
Standard Deviation
1.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Illinois Tool historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Illinois Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Illinois Tool, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Illinois Tool Works back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
3.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
3.4 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
3.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
26.2 M
Briar Hall Management Llc2024-09-30
25.9 M
Note, although Illinois Tool's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Illinois Tool Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory98M43M(450M)(455M)360M378M
Change In Cash477M583M(1.0B)(819M)357M374.9M
Free Cash Flow2.7B2.6B2.3B1.9B3.1B3.2B
Depreciation461M426M427M410M395M411.4M
Other Non Cash Items(56M)10M(14M)(193M)(4M)(3.8M)
Dividends Paid1.3B1.4B1.5B1.5B1.6B1.7B
Capital Expenditures326M236M296M412M455M340.4M
Net Income2.5B2.1B2.7B3.0B3.0B3.1B
End Period Cash Flow2.0B2.6B1.5B708M1.1B1.2B
Change To Netincome20M21M(108M)(278M)(250.2M)(262.7M)
Investments20M14M38M12M(156M)(148.2M)
Change Receivables40M95M(240M)(461M)(414.9M)(394.2M)
Net Borrowings422M(4M)(141M)276M248.4M249.1M

Illinois Tool Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Illinois Tool or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Illinois Tool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Illinois stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Illinois Tool Volatility Alert

Illinois Tool Works exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.78 and kurtosis of 1.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Illinois Tool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Illinois Tool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Illinois Tool Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Illinois Tool's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Illinois Tool's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Illinois Tool and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Illinois Tool or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Illinois Tool's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Illinois Tool by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Illinois Tool to competition
FundamentalsIllinois ToolPeer Average
Return On Equity1.08-0.31
Return On Asset0.17-0.14
Profit Margin0.22 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation86.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding295.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.01 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.31 M4.71 M
Price To Earning26.14 X28.72 X
Price To Book23.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.93 X11.42 X
Revenue16.11 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.5 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.04 B3.9 B
Net Income2.96 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents708 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.37 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.54 B971.22 M
Short Ratio6.76 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.56 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.01 X4.89 X
Target Price257.58
Number Of Employees45 K18.84 K
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization78.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.52 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings27.12 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.56 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 213 shares by Javier Carbonell of Illinois Tool at 256.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Illinois Tool Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Illinois . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Illinois Tool Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Illinois Tool Works? Buying financial instruments such as Illinois Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Illinois Tool in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Absolute Returns ETFs
Absolute Returns ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Absolute Returns ETFs theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Absolute Returns ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Illinois Stock Analysis

When running Illinois Tool's price analysis, check to measure Illinois Tool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Illinois Tool is operating at the current time. Most of Illinois Tool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Illinois Tool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Illinois Tool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Illinois Tool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.