John B Sanfilippo Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JBSS Stock | USD 85.75 1.66 1.97% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding John B Sanfilippo is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell John B Sanfilippo given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards John B. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for John B Sanfilippo, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out John B Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as John and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. John B Sanfilippo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
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Execute John B Buy or Sell Advice
The John recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on John B Sanfilippo. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in John B Sanfilippo or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute John B's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
John B Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| John B Sanfilippo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: John B. Sanfilippo Sons investors will be pleased with their 2.8 percent return over the last five years |
John B Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of John B's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of John B's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of John B daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use John B Sanfilippo price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of John B returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for John B.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -2.16 | Potential Upside | 1.54 | Standard Deviation | 1.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of John B historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
John Stock Institutional Investors
The John B's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase John B's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 192.7 K | Public Employees Retirt Assn Of Colorado | 2024-06-30 | 179.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 137 K | Amundi | 2024-06-30 | 135.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 135.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 116.1 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 94.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 89.3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 86.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 731 K |
John B Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (15.0M) | 24.1M | (56.9M) | 32.2M | 11.9M | 12.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (56K) | (863K) | (257K) | 1.5M | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 48.6M | 79.5M | 1.9M | 103.9M | 73.4M | 77.0M | |
| Depreciation | 17.9M | 18.3M | 18.3M | 20.5M | 26.6M | 14.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.5M | 105K | 1.1M | 2.6M | 11.1M | 11.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 68.7M | 57.5M | 34.5M | 54.9M | 34.8M | 28.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 15.0M | 25.2M | 17.8M | 20.7M | 28.3M | 15.3M | |
| Net Income | 54.1M | 59.7M | 61.8M | 62.9M | 60.2M | 63.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.5M | 672K | 415K | 1.9M | 484K | 459.8K | |
| Change Receivables | 4.4M | 4.0M | (9.4M) | (3.3M) | (3.8M) | (4.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 20.0M | (24.6M) | 27.1M | (43.5M) | (39.2M) | (37.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 4.1M | 3.9M | 5.2M | 5.0M | 5.8M | 6.1M | |
| Investments | (14.0M) | (23.0M) | 3.2M | (24.3M) | (87.3M) | (83.0M) |
John B Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to John B or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that John B's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a John stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
John B Volatility Alert
John B Sanfilippo exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.01 and kurtosis of 18.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure John B's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact John B's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.John B Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing John B's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze John B's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between John B and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as John B or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of John B's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing John B by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare John B to competition |
| Fundamentals | John B | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0973 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.06 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 9.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.41 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.11 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 139.01 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.97 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.88 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.07 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 211.63 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 109.09 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 60.25 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 415 K | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 55.57 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 26.79 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 101.67 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.01 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.64 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 107.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.11 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 951.95 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 515.58 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 186.97 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 168.15 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 128.78 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Sanfilippo James J of 1268 shares of John B subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
John B Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as John . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About John B Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell John B Sanfilippo? Buying financial instruments such as John Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis
When running John B's price analysis, check to measure John B's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John B is operating at the current time. Most of John B's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John B's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John B's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John B to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.