Kaiser Aluminum Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KALU Stock  USD 70.25  2.04  2.82%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Kaiser Aluminum is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kaiser Aluminum given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kaiser Aluminum, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Kaiser Aluminum Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kaiser Stock please use our How to Invest in Kaiser Aluminum guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kaiser and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Kaiser Aluminum. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Kaiser Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice

The Kaiser recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kaiser Aluminum. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kaiser Aluminum or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kaiser Aluminum's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Kaiser AluminumBuy Kaiser Aluminum
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Kaiser Aluminum has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.26) and Treynor Ratio of (0.48)
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Kaiser Aluminum that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Kaiser Aluminum. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Kaiser Aluminum is not overpriced, please verify all Kaiser Aluminum fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Kaiser Aluminum has a price to earning of 297.18 X, we recommend you to check Kaiser Aluminum market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kaiser Aluminum Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kaiser Aluminum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kaiser Aluminum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Focus On Improving This Fundamental Metric

Kaiser Aluminum Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kaiser Aluminum's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kaiser Aluminum's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kaiser Aluminum daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kaiser Aluminum price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kaiser Aluminum returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kaiser Aluminum.
Mean Return
-0.25
Value At Risk
-2.89
Potential Upside
2.39
Standard Deviation
1.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kaiser Aluminum historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kaiser Stock Institutional Investors

The Kaiser Aluminum's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Kaiser Aluminum's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Rhumbline Advisers2024-12-31
49.2 K
Note, although Kaiser Aluminum's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kaiser Aluminum Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash515.7M(477.3M)(245.7M)29.4M33.8M35.5M
Free Cash Flow155M21.4M(205.6M)68.7M79.0M83.0M
Depreciation52.2M91.5M106.9M108.6M124.9M131.1M
Other Non Cash Items2.5M45.2M27.1M1.8M1.6M1.5M
Dividends Paid43.4M46.7M50.1M50.4M58.0M30.2M
Capital Expenditures51.9M58M142.5M143.2M128.9M65.9M
Net Income28.8M(18.5M)(29.6M)47.2M54.3M57.0M
End Period Cash Flow794.3M317M71.3M100.7M115.8M103.7M
Change To Inventory25.6M(43.5M)(120.8M)48.2M43.4M45.5M
Change To Netincome92M28.6M36.9M20M18M17.1M
Investments78.5M(400K)(125.8M)(159.1M)(143.2M)(136.0M)
Change Receivables20.2M60.8M(90.3M)15M17.3M18.1M
Net Borrowings98.3M342.1M160.5M(1.8M)(2.1M)(2.0M)

Kaiser Aluminum Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kaiser Aluminum or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kaiser Aluminum's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kaiser stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Kaiser Aluminum Volatility Alert

Kaiser Aluminum exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of 0.33. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kaiser Aluminum's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kaiser Aluminum's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kaiser Aluminum Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kaiser Aluminum's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kaiser Aluminum's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kaiser Aluminum and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kaiser Aluminum or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kaiser Aluminum's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaiser Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kaiser Aluminum to competition
FundamentalsKaiser AluminumPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0723-0.31
Return On Asset0.0247-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding16.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.86 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.66 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted399.07 K4.71 M
Price To Earning297.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue3.09 B9.43 B
Gross Profit334.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA211.8 M3.9 B
Net Income47.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents129.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.15 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.08 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.69 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share41.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations211.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.90 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.24 X4.89 X
Target Price80.33
Number Of Employees4 K18.84 K
Beta1.33-0.15
Market Capitalization1.13 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.27 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.1 M9.33 B
Working Capital620.2 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Grimley Richard P. of 108 shares of Kaiser Aluminum at 96.89 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kaiser Aluminum Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kaiser . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kaiser Aluminum Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kaiser Aluminum? Buying financial instruments such as Kaiser Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Penny
Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with below average market capitalization and typicl daily price below 2. The Penny theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Kaiser Stock Analysis

When running Kaiser Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Kaiser Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaiser Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Kaiser Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaiser Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaiser Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaiser Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.