Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KDP Stock  USD 32.24  0.20  0.62%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Keurig Dr Pepper is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Keurig Dr Pepper given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Keurig Dr. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Keurig Dr Pepper, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Keurig Dr Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Keurig and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Keurig Dr Pepper. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Keurig Dr Buy or Sell Advice

The Keurig recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Keurig Dr Pepper. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Keurig Dr Pepper or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Keurig Dr's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Keurig DrBuy Keurig Dr
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Keurig Dr Pepper has a Mean Deviation of 0.7575, Standard Deviation of 1.19 and Variance of 1.42
Our trade recommendations module can be used to complement Keurig Dr Pepper advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Keurig Dr Pepper is not overpriced, please verify all Keurig Dr Pepper fundamentals, including its short ratio, current asset, and the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Keurig Dr Pepper has a price to earning of 30.21 X, we recommend you to check Keurig Dr market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Keurig Dr Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Keurig Dr Pepper has 14.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 75.0% of Keurig Dr shares are owned by institutional investors
On 11th of October 2024 Keurig Dr paid $ 0.23 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Keurig Dr Pepper to Participate in Morgan Stanley Global Consumer Retail Conference

Keurig Dr Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Keurig Dr's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Keurig Dr's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Keurig Dr daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Keurig Dr Pepper price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Keurig Dr returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Keurig Dr.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-2.08
Potential Upside
1.46
Standard Deviation
1.19
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Keurig Dr historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Keurig Stock Institutional Investors

The Keurig Dr's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Keurig Dr's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
14.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
13.8 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss Llc2024-09-30
12.9 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
11.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
11.3 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
10 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-06-30
9.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
8.4 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
112.2 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
102.2 M
Note, although Keurig Dr's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Keurig Dr Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(24M)(107M)(133M)(426M)182M191.1M
Capital Expenditures365M517M455M379M481M505.1M
Net Income1.3B1.3B2.1B1.4B2.2B2.3B
Change In Cash(28M)144M313M(33M)(268M)(254.6M)
Free Cash Flow2.1B1.9B2.4B2.5B848M1.2B
Other Non Cash Items115M278M(450M)1.2B63M125.5M
End Period Cash Flow111M255M568M535M267M391.7M
Change To Netincome145M308M(436M)842M968.3M1.0B
Depreciation698M653M708M709M720M381.9M
Dividends Paid844M846M955M1.1B1.1B644.5M
Investments(48M)(11M)559M(1.1B)(784M)(744.8M)
Net Borrowings(994M)(780M)(1.6B)(115M)(132.3M)(125.6M)

Keurig Dr Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Keurig Dr or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Keurig Dr's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Keurig stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Keurig Dr Volatility Alert

Keurig Dr Pepper exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.07 and kurtosis of 7.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Keurig Dr's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Keurig Dr's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Keurig Dr Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Keurig Dr's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Keurig Dr's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Keurig Dr and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Keurig Dr or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Keurig Dr's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keurig Dr by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Keurig Dr to competition
FundamentalsKeurig DrPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0905-0.31
Return On Asset0.0419-0.14
Profit Margin0.15 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation59.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.36 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.08 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted24.21 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.74 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.87 X11.42 X
Revenue14.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.33 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.94 B3.9 B
Net Income2.18 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents925 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.65 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.82 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.33 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.90 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.66 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.46 X4.89 X
Target Price37.95
Number Of Employees28.1 K18.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization43.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset52.13 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.56 B9.33 B
Working Capital(5.54 B)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1476 shares by Anthony Shoemaker of Keurig Dr subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Keurig Dr Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Keurig . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Keurig Dr Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Keurig Dr Pepper? Buying financial instruments such as Keurig Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Keurig Dr in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Energy Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in energy sector, natural resources, and ecology. The Energy Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Energy Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Keurig Stock Analysis

When running Keurig Dr's price analysis, check to measure Keurig Dr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keurig Dr is operating at the current time. Most of Keurig Dr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keurig Dr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keurig Dr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keurig Dr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.