Kirby Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KEX Stock  USD 128.81  0.49  0.38%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kirby is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kirby given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kirby. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kirby, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Kirby Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kirby Stock please use our How to Invest in Kirby guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kirby and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Kirby. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Kirby Buy or Sell Advice

The Kirby recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kirby. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kirby or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kirby's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell KirbyBuy Kirby
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Kirby has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0775, Jensen Alpha of 0.0308, Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.049 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1042
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Kirby to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Kirby. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Kirby is not overpriced, please verify all Kirby fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Kirby has a price to earning of 56.62 X, we recommend you to check Kirby market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kirby Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kirby has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Kirby McInerney LLP Announces the Filing of a Securities Class Action on Behalf of Humacyte, ...

Kirby Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kirby's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kirby's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kirby daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kirby price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kirby returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kirby.
Mean Return
0.18
Value At Risk
-2.31
Potential Upside
2.56
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kirby historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kirby Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Kirby, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kirby back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
1.1 M
Select Equity Group Lp2024-09-30
984.5 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
958.5 K
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
925.5 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
922.3 K
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2024-06-30
887.4 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
813.5 K
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
778.1 K
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-06-30
767.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
5.6 M
Note, although Kirby's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kirby Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash16.9M55.6M(45.5M)45.8M(48M)(45.6M)
Free Cash Flow263.6M296.8M223.6M121.5M138.5M86.0M
Depreciation219.1M219.9M213.7M201.4M240.1M252.1M
Other Non Cash Items52.6M595.0M367.4M21.7M(7.9M)(7.5M)
Capital Expenditures248.2M148.2M98.0M172.6M401.7M421.8M
Net Income143.0M(271.6M)(246.8M)122.8M222.9M234.0M
End Period Cash Flow24.7M80.3M34.8M80.6M32.6M27.1M
Change To Inventory122.8M47.1M(19.2M)(127.1M)7.7M8.1M
Change To Netincome87.4M604.7M305.5M44.3M50.9M92.4M
Change Receivables43.1M(124.9M)29.1M(31.6M)(36.3M)(38.1M)
Net Borrowings(44.8M)100.0M(308.1M)(85.6M)(77.1M)(73.2M)
Investments(453.0M)(485.8M)(55.8M)(139.6M)(413.1M)(433.8M)

Kirby Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kirby or Marine Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kirby's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kirby stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Kirby Volatility Alert

Kirby has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.69 and kurtosis of 5.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kirby's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kirby's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kirby Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kirby's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kirby's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kirby and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kirby or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kirby's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kirby by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kirby to competition
FundamentalsKirbyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0947-0.31
Return On Asset0.0484-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.53) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.46 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding57.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.91 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.22 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted882.77 K4.71 M
Price To Earning56.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.27 X11.42 X
Revenue3.09 B9.43 B
Gross Profit723.81 M27.38 B
EBITDA557.29 M3.9 B
Net Income222.87 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents80.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.42 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.19 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.45 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share54.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations540.23 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.21 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.63 X4.89 X
Target Price140.67
Number Of Employees5.45 K18.84 K
Beta1.18-0.15
Market Capitalization7.42 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.72 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.69 B9.33 B
Working Capital459.37 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2313 shares by Ronald Dragg of Kirby at 75.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kirby Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kirby . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kirby Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kirby? Buying financial instruments such as Kirby Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Kirby in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Banks Thematic Idea Now

Banks
Banks Theme
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Kirby Stock Analysis

When running Kirby's price analysis, check to measure Kirby's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kirby is operating at the current time. Most of Kirby's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kirby's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kirby's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kirby to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.