Louisiana Pacific Stock Market Outlook
| LPX Stock | USD 94.28 2.73 2.81% |
Slightly above 61% of Louisiana Pacific's investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Louisiana Pacific stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. Louisiana Pacific's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Louisiana Pacific's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 39
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Louisiana Pacific's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Louisiana Pacific.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Louisiana Pacific is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Louisiana Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Louisiana Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
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Execute Louisiana Pacific Advice
The Louisiana recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Louisiana Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Louisiana Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Louisiana Pacific has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1272, Jensen Alpha of 0.2277, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0756, Sortino Ratio of 0.1261 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2399Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Louisiana Pacific to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Louisiana Pacific is not overpriced, please verify all Louisiana Pacific fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Louisiana Pacific has a price to earning of 4.53 X, we recommend you to check Louisiana Pacific market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Louisiana Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Louisiana Pacific has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 19 shares by William Southern of Louisiana Pacific at 96.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Louisiana Pacific Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Louisiana Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Louisiana Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Louisiana Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Louisiana Pacific.
| Mean Return | 0.38 | Value At Risk | -2.87 | Potential Upside | 5.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Louisiana Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Louisiana Pacific, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Louisiana Pacific back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 1 M | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 979.4 K | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 976.3 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 946.1 K | Fiduciary Management, Inc. Of Milwaukee | 2025-06-30 | 890.8 K | Kinetic Partners Management Lp | 2025-06-30 | 850.8 K | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 840.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 6.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 5.7 M |
Louisiana Pacific Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (71M) | (66M) | (46M) | 9M | 8.1M | 8.5M | |
| Change In Cash | (164M) | 12M | (147M) | 118M | 106.2M | 111.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2B | 730M | 16M | 422M | 485.3M | 509.6M | |
| Depreciation | 111M | 119M | 132M | 126M | 113.4M | 111.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12M | (42M) | 103M | 14M | 12.6M | 12.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 66M | 69M | (69M) | (74M) | (66.6M) | (63.3M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 254M | 414M | 300M | 183M | 164.7M | 150.8M | |
| Net Income | 1.4B | 1.1B | 178M | 420M | 483M | 507.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 535M | 371M | 383M | 222M | 391M | 391.2M | |
| Investments | (247M) | (146M) | (444M) | (183M) | (164.7M) | (156.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (21M) | (53M) | (14M) | 22M | 19.8M | 20.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 69M | 90M | 32M | (116M) | (104.4M) | (99.2M) |
Louisiana Pacific Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Louisiana Pacific or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Louisiana Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Louisiana stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Louisiana Pacific Volatility Alert
Louisiana Pacific currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Louisiana Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Louisiana Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Louisiana Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Louisiana Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Louisiana Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Louisiana Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Louisiana Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Louisiana Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Louisiana Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Louisiana Pacific to competition |
| Fundamentals | Louisiana Pacific | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0797 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 69.64 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 9.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.1 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.87 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 665 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 659 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 420 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 340 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 380 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.33 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.84 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 605 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.09 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.09 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 104.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.78 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.73 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.61 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 543 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7080 shares by William Southern of Louisiana Pacific at 85.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Louisiana Pacific Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Louisiana . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 94.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 94.28 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.73) |
Louisiana Pacific Target Price Consensus
Louisiana target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Louisiana Pacific's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 10 | Buy |
Most Louisiana analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Louisiana stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Louisiana Pacific, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationLouisiana Pacific Target Price Projection
Louisiana Pacific's current and average target prices are 94.28 and 104.00, respectively. The current price of Louisiana Pacific is the price at which Louisiana Pacific is currently trading. On the other hand, Louisiana Pacific's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Louisiana Pacific Market Quote on 12th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Louisiana Pacific Target Price
Louisiana Pacific Analyst Ratings
Louisiana Pacific's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Louisiana Pacific stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Louisiana Pacific's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Louisiana Pacific's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Louisiana Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Louisiana Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as Louisiana Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Louisiana Stock Analysis
When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.