Louisiana Pacific Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LPX Stock  USD 114.40  3.01  2.70%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Louisiana Pacific is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Louisiana Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Louisiana Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Louisiana Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Louisiana Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Louisiana Stock please use our How to Invest in Louisiana Pacific guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Louisiana and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Louisiana Pacific. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Louisiana Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

The Louisiana recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Louisiana Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Louisiana Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Louisiana PacificBuy Louisiana Pacific
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Louisiana Pacific has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1294, Jensen Alpha of 0.2227, Total Risk Alpha of 0.084, Sortino Ratio of 0.1214 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3478
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Louisiana Pacific to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Louisiana Pacific is not overpriced, please verify all Louisiana Pacific fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Louisiana Pacific has a price to earning of 4.53 X, we recommend you to check Louisiana Pacific market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Louisiana Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Louisiana Pacific has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Louisiana-Pacific Corp Stock Price Up 2.96 percent on Nov 19

Louisiana Pacific Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Louisiana Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Louisiana Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Louisiana Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Louisiana Pacific.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-2.88
Potential Upside
3.30
Standard Deviation
1.86
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Louisiana Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Louisiana Pacific, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Louisiana Pacific back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
1.3 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
1.2 M
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Kinetic Partners Management Lp2024-09-30
890.6 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
726.9 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
710.2 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
675 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
662.5 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.9 M
Note, although Louisiana Pacific's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Louisiana Pacific Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory3M(12M)(71M)(66M)(46M)(43.7M)
Change In Cash(697M)340M(164M)12M(161M)(153.0M)
Free Cash Flow(4M)582M1.2B730M16M15.2M
Depreciation120M123M111M119M132M111.5M
Other Non Cash Items20M18M12M(42M)103M108.2M
Capital Expenditures163M77M254M414M300M156.3M
Net Income(10M)497M1.4B1.1B178M170.1M
End Period Cash Flow195M535M371M383M222M399.7M
Investments(137M)(49M)(247M)(146M)(444M)(421.8M)
Change Receivables(21M)(53M)(14M)22M19.8M20.8M
Net Borrowings(3.1M)(24.7M)(5M)(9M)(8.1M)(8.5M)
Change To Netincome69M90M32M(116M)(104.4M)(99.2M)

Louisiana Pacific Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Louisiana Pacific or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Louisiana Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Louisiana stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Louisiana Pacific Volatility Alert

Louisiana Pacific has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 2.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Louisiana Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Louisiana Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Louisiana Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Louisiana Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Louisiana Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Louisiana Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Louisiana Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Louisiana Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Louisiana Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Louisiana Pacific to competition
FundamentalsLouisiana PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity0.26-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.85 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding70.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.15 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.39 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.70 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.68 X11.42 X
Revenue2.58 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.5 B27.38 B
EBITDA381 M3.9 B
Net Income178 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents369 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt378 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.28 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share23.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations316 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.65 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.81 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.82 X4.89 X
Target Price109.0
Number Of Employees4.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.88-0.15
Market Capitalization7.82 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.48 B9.33 B
Working Capital504 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2832 shares by William Southern of Louisiana Pacific subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Louisiana Pacific Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Louisiana . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Louisiana Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Louisiana Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as Louisiana Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Single Stock ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Single Stock ETFs theme has 99 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Single Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Louisiana Stock Analysis

When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.