Lumos Pharma Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LUMO Stock | USD 4.30 0.01 0.23% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lumos Pharma is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lumos Pharma's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Lumos Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lumos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumos Pharma guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lumos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lumos Pharma. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Lumos |
Execute Lumos Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
The Lumos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lumos Pharma. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lumos Pharma or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lumos Pharma's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lumos Pharma Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lumos Pharma had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.52 M. | |
| Lumos Pharma currently holds about 79.51 M in cash with (31.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.49, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Lumos Pharma has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Zoth Lota S. of 367 shares of Lumos Pharma subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Lumos Pharma Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lumos Pharma's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lumos Pharma's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lumos Pharma daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lumos Pharma price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lumos Pharma returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lumos Pharma.
| Mean Return | 0.60 | Value At Risk | -5.19 | Potential Upside | 6.35 | Standard Deviation | 4.12 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lumos Pharma historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lumos Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Lumos Pharma, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumos Pharma back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Marquette Asset Management Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 25.8 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 25.3 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 19.6 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 11.9 K | Wealth Advisors Of Iowa, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 11.7 K | State Street Corp | 2024-06-30 | 11.2 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 11.1 K | Key Financial, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 10.9 K | Adar1 Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 10 K | Private Advisor Group, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 744.5 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 415 K |
Lumos Pharma Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (30.2M) | 93.7M | (3.9M) | (38.8M) | (20.9M) | (19.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (30.2M) | (23.0M) | (29.7M) | (26.6M) | (31.1M) | (32.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.1M | 584K | 203K | 49K | 44K | 41.8K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 371K | (5.9M) | 14K | (26K) | (392K) | (372.4K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 43K | 7K | 2K | 30K | 21K | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (43.0M) | (5.7M) | (30.4M) | (31.1M) | (34.0M) | (35.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 90.5M | 98.7M | 94.8M | 56.0M | 35.1M | 33.3M | |
| Investments | 77K | 116.6M | 26.0M | (11.4M) | (6.8M) | (6.4M) | |
| Change Receivables | 14.4M | 10.2M | (296K) | 309K | 355.4K | 363.4K | |
| Net Borrowings | (246K) | (167K) | (61K) | (27K) | (24.3K) | (25.5K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.1M | (14.3M) | 2.8M | 2.3M | 2.1M | 2.0M |
Lumos Pharma Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lumos Pharma or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lumos Pharma's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lumos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Lumos Pharma Volatility Alert
Lumos Pharma shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lumos Pharma's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lumos Pharma's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lumos Pharma Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lumos Pharma's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lumos Pharma's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lumos Pharma and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lumos Pharma or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lumos Pharma's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumos Pharma by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lumos Pharma to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lumos Pharma | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.73 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.7 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (10.52) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 23.93 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 8.65 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 24.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 86.38 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (2.37) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.59 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 16.91 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.05 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.52 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (36.57 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (34.03 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 79.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 9.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 585 K | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 17.59 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (31.09 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.92 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (4.28) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.15) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 4.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 30 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.33 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 37.28 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 40.64 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (161.52 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 33.01 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 115.78 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Zoth Lota S. of 367 shares of Lumos Pharma subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lumos Pharma Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lumos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lumos Pharma Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lumos Pharma? Buying financial instruments such as Lumos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Lumos Pharma Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lumos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumos Pharma guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumos Pharma. If investors know Lumos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumos Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.28) | Revenue Per Share 0.27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 102.714 | Return On Assets (0.70) | Return On Equity (1.73) |
The market value of Lumos Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumos Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumos Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumos Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumos Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumos Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumos Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumos Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.