Mdu Resources Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MDU Stock  USD 20.13  0.19  0.95%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MDU Resources Group is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MDU Resources Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MDU Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MDU Resources Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out MDU Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MDU and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. MDU Resources Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The MDU recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MDU Resources Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MDU Resources Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MDU Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MDU ResourcesBuy MDU Resources
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon MDU Resources Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2225, Jensen Alpha of 0.4537, Total Risk Alpha of 0.26, Sortino Ratio of 0.2527 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4894
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on MDU Resources Group. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available now. To make sure MDU Resources Group is not overpriced, please verify all MDU Resources Group fundamentals, including its ebitda, earnings per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and market capitalization . Given that MDU Resources Group has a price to earning of 16.15 X, we recommend you to check MDU Resources market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

MDU Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of October 2024 MDU Resources paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Acquisition by Dosch Vernon A. of 1363 shares of MDU Resources subject to Rule 16b-3

MDU Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of MDU Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MDU Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MDU Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MDU Resources Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MDU Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MDU Resources.
Mean Return
0.61
Value At Risk
-2.69
Potential Upside
3.97
Standard Deviation
2.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MDU Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MDU Stock Institutional Investors

The MDU Resources' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase MDU Resources' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.4 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-06-30
2.2 M
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
1.7 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.7 M
U.s. Bancorp2024-06-30
1.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
19.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
18.6 M
Note, although MDU Resources' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MDU Resources Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory9.3M(7.2M)(42.3M)(46.6M)(27.6M)(26.2M)
Change In Cash12.5M(6.9M)(5.4M)26.3M(3.5M)(3.4M)
Free Cash Flow(33.8M)210.4M(163.6M)(146.6M)(187.1M)(177.7M)
Other Non Cash Items195.7M296.0M(54.5M)(12.7M)(287.5M)(273.2M)
Dividends Paid160.3M166.4M171.4M176.9M161.3M114.7M
Capital Expenditures576.1M558.0M659.4M656.6M519.7M508.5M
Net Income335.2M390.5M377.7M367.3M414.7M223.8M
End Period Cash Flow66.5M59.6M54.2M80.5M77.0M81.7M
Investments(2.0M)(1.8M)(885.9M)(638.9M)(589.2M)(559.8M)
Change Receivables(104.4M)7.8M(60.0M)(363.3M)(327.0M)(310.6M)
Net Borrowings130.5M18.3M478.1M344.5M396.2M416.0M
Depreciation256.0M285.1M274.3M327.8M213.6M189.6M
Change To Netincome63.9M(3.2M)(181.5M)31.4M28.3M26.9M

MDU Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MDU Resources or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MDU Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MDU stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

MDU Resources Volatility Alert

MDU Resources Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.36 and kurtosis of 1.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MDU Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MDU Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

MDU Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing MDU Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MDU Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MDU Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MDU Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MDU Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MDU Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MDU Resources to competition
FundamentalsMDU ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.036-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.5 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding203.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.69 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.6 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.91 X11.42 X
Revenue4.66 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.15 B27.38 B
EBITDA867.71 M3.9 B
Net Income414.71 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents80.52 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.32 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.47 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.93 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.35 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations332.63 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.94 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.16 X4.89 X
Target Price19.67
Number Of Employees9.14 K18.84 K
Beta0.67-0.15
Market Capitalization4.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.25 B9.33 B
Working Capital287.99 M1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

MDU Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MDU . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MDU Resources Group? Buying financial instruments such as MDU Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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Run Automobiles and Trucks Thematic Idea Now

Automobiles and Trucks
Automobiles and Trucks Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Automobiles and Trucks theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Automobiles and Trucks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for MDU Stock Analysis

When running MDU Resources' price analysis, check to measure MDU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MDU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.