Mayville Engineering Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MEC Stock  USD 16.08  0.28  1.77%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mayville Engineering Co is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mayville Engineering buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MEC positions.
  
Check out Mayville Engineering Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mayville and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mayville Engineering Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Mayville Engineering Buy or Sell Advice

The Mayville recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mayville Engineering Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mayville Engineering Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mayville Engineering's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mayville EngineeringBuy Mayville Engineering
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mayville Engineering Co has a Mean Deviation of 1.95, Standard Deviation of 3.2 and Variance of 10.26
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Mayville Engineering Co and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Mayville Engineering is not overpriced, please verify all Mayville Engineering Co fundamentals, including its debt to equity, target price, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and cash flow from operations . Given that Mayville Engineering has a number of shares shorted of 253.43 K, we recommend you to check Mayville Engineering market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mayville Engineering Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mayville Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mayville Engineering has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Mayville Engineering Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mayville Engineering's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mayville Engineering's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mayville Engineering daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mayville Engineering Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mayville Engineering returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mayville Engineering.
Mean Return
-0.28
Value At Risk
-3.51
Potential Upside
4.11
Standard Deviation
3.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mayville Engineering historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mayville Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
State Street Corp2024-09-30
231.5 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
218.9 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
214.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
211.4 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
188.7 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
171.5 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-09-30
165.6 K
Blair William & Co2024-09-30
158.5 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
156.3 K
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
897.6 K
Note, although Mayville Engineering's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mayville Engineering Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory4.2M(27.9M)(1.6M)16.0M18.4M19.3M
Investments(5.8M)(34.0M)(50.7M)(117.3M)(105.5M)(100.2M)
Change In Cash120K(3K)9K545K490.5K515.0K
Net Borrowings(107.6M)(27.5M)21.5M3.5M3.2M3.3M
Free Cash Flow28.7M(24.9M)(6.2M)23.8M21.4M22.5M
Depreciation32.1M31.8M29.3M35.1M40.3M31.8M
Other Non Cash Items358K325K(8.6M)(12.3M)(11.1M)(10.5M)
Capital Expenditures7.8M39.3M58.6M16.6M19.1M27.9M
Net Income(7.1M)(7.5M)18.7M7.8M9.0M4.8M
End Period Cash Flow121K118K127K672K604.8K480.5K
Change To Netincome8.5M1.7M18.7M8.6M9.8M8.1M

Mayville Engineering Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mayville Engineering or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mayville Engineering's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mayville stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
3.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Mayville Engineering Volatility Alert

Mayville Engineering Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.38 and kurtosis of 19.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mayville Engineering's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mayville Engineering's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mayville Engineering Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mayville Engineering's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mayville Engineering's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mayville Engineering and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mayville Engineering or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mayville Engineering's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mayville Engineering by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mayville Engineering to competition
FundamentalsMayville EngineeringPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0525-0.31
Return On Asset0.0313-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation465.41 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding20.64 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders39.55 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions57.88 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted253.43 K4.71 M
Price To Earning86.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.54 X11.42 X
Revenue588.42 M9.43 B
Gross Profit83.89 M27.38 B
EBITDA55.05 M3.9 B
Net Income7.84 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents127 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt182.08 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.51 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations40.36 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.59 X3.12 X
Target Price21.0
Number Of Employees2.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization326.18 M19.03 B
Total Asset496.66 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings34.12 M9.33 B
Working Capital62.91 M1.48 B
Current Asset84.99 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 5783 shares by Sean Leuba of Mayville Engineering subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mayville Engineering Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mayville . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mayville Engineering Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mayville Engineering Co? Buying financial instruments such as Mayville Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mayville Engineering in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Alternative Currency ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Alternative Currency ETFs
Alternative Currency ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Alternative Currency ETFs theme has 49 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Alternative Currency ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Mayville Engineering offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mayville Engineering's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mayville Engineering Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mayville Engineering Co Stock:
Check out Mayville Engineering Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mayville Engineering. If investors know Mayville will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mayville Engineering listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1
Earnings Share
0.59
Revenue Per Share
29.624
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0313
The market value of Mayville Engineering is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mayville that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mayville Engineering's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mayville Engineering's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mayville Engineering's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mayville Engineering's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mayville Engineering's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mayville Engineering is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mayville Engineering's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.