Meli Hotels (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MEL Stock  EUR 7.11  0.11  1.57%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Meli Hotels International is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Meli Hotels buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MEL positions.
  
Check out Meli Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Meli and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Meli Hotels International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Meli Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

The Meli recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Meli Hotels International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Meli Hotels International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Meli Hotels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Meli HotelsBuy Meli Hotels
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Meli Hotels International has a Mean Deviation of 1.04, Semi Deviation of 1.08, Standard Deviation of 1.44, Variance of 2.07, Downside Variance of 1.71 and Semi Variance of 1.16
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Meli Hotels International. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Meli Hotels International is not overpriced, please verify all Meli Hotels International fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, revenue, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the price to book and ebitda .

Meli Hotels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Meli Hotels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Meli Hotels International has accumulated 1.18 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.02, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Meli Hotels International has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Meli Hotels until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Meli Hotels' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Meli Hotels International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Meli to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Meli Hotels' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 827.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (192.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 349.93 M.
About 55.0% of Meli Hotels outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Meli Hotels Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Meli Hotels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Meli Hotels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Meli Hotels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Meli Hotels International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Meli Hotels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Meli Hotels.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-1.78
Potential Upside
2.71
Standard Deviation
1.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Meli Hotels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Meli Hotels Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Meli Hotels or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Meli Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Meli stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Meli Hotels Volatility Alert

Meli Hotels International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.45 and kurtosis of 2.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Meli Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Meli Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Meli Hotels Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Meli Hotels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Meli Hotels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Meli Hotels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Meli Hotels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Meli Hotels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meli Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Meli Hotels to competition
FundamentalsMeli HotelsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0024-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.99 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding220.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders54.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions22.32 %39.21 %
Price To Earning42.08 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.72 X11.42 X
Revenue827.21 M9.43 B
Gross Profit349.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA120.06 M3.9 B
Net Income(192.9 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents118.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.18 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity8.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.44 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations126.85 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.12 X3.12 X
Target Price12.6
Number Of Employees10.8 K18.84 K
Beta1.81-0.15
Market Capitalization1.39 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.21 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Five Year Return1.46 %
Net Asset4.21 B

Meli Hotels Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Meli . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Meli Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Meli Hotels International? Buying financial instruments such as Meli Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Meli Stock

Meli Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meli Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meli with respect to the benefits of owning Meli Hotels security.