Mitek Systems Stock Market Outlook
| MITK Stock | USD 9.85 0.22 2.28% |
About 63% of all Mitek Systems' institutional investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Mitek Systems suggests that some traders are, at the present time, interested. Mitek Systems' investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Mitek Systems.
Comfort Level 63
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Mitek Systems' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Mitek Systems.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mitek Systems is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Mitek Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Mitek Systems Advice
The Mitek recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mitek Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mitek Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mitek Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Mild | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Mitek Systems has a Mean Deviation of 1.68, Semi Deviation of 2.14, Standard Deviation of 2.36, Variance of 5.56, Downside Variance of 5.68 and Semi Variance of 4.58We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Mitek Systems. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Mitek Systems is not overpriced, please verify all Mitek Systems fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Mitek Systems has a price to earning of 45.71 X, we recommend you to check Mitek Systems market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Mitek Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mitek Systems has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Mitek Systems Q1 2026 Earnings Preview |
Mitek Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mitek Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mitek Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mitek Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mitek Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mitek Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Mitek Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.12 | Value At Risk | -4.01 | Potential Upside | 3.10 | Standard Deviation | 2.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mitek Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mitek Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Impax Asset Management Group Plc | 2025-06-30 | 850 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2025-06-30 | 719.2 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2025-06-30 | 702.6 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 578.1 K | Lynrock Lake Lp | 2025-06-30 | 568.9 K | Topline Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 528.8 K | Csm Advisors, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 525.2 K | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2025-06-30 | 523.5 K | Foundry Partners, Llc | 2025-03-31 | 497.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.3 M |
Mitek Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.7M | 26.9M | 34.5M | 60.7M | 69.8M | 73.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 25.2M | 30.6M | 30.3M | 54.2M | 62.3M | 65.4M | |
| Depreciation | 14.5M | 18.7M | 16.9M | 15.5M | 17.8M | 18.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 5.7M | 8.9M | 7.9M | 10.5M | 12.1M | 12.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.1M | 1.0M | 1.4M | 1.2M | 1.3M | 1.4M | |
| Net Income | 3.0M | 8.0M | 3.3M | 8.8M | 10.1M | 10.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 32.1M | 58.9M | 93.5M | 154.2M | 177.3M | 186.1M | |
| Investments | (3.5M) | (6.8M) | 28.7M | 7.0M | 6.3M | 6.6M |
Mitek Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mitek Systems or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mitek Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mitek stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Mitek Systems Volatility Alert
Mitek Systems currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mitek Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mitek Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mitek Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mitek Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mitek Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mitek Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mitek Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mitek Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mitek Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mitek Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mitek Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0387 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0253 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 428.76 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 45.3 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.42 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.22 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.3 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 45.71 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.82 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.51 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 179.69 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 152.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 38.74 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 71.05 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 159.49 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.75 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.61 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.34 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.19 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.28 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 561 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.08 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 450.56 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 459.11 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (26.21 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 39.46 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 12958 shares by David Lyle of Mitek Systems subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mitek Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mitek . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26799.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.22 |
Mitek Systems Target Price Consensus
Mitek target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mitek Systems' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 6 | Strong Buy |
Most Mitek analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Mitek stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Mitek Systems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationMitek Systems Target Price Projection
Mitek Systems' current and average target prices are 9.85 and 13.75, respectively. The current price of Mitek Systems is the price at which Mitek Systems is currently trading. On the other hand, Mitek Systems' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Mitek Systems Market Quote on 5th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Mitek Systems Target Price
Mitek Systems Analyst Ratings
Mitek Systems' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Mitek Systems stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Mitek Systems' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Mitek Systems' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Mitek Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mitek Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Mitek Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Mitek Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Mitek Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Mitek Stock please use our How to buy in Mitek Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mitek Systems. Expected growth trajectory for Mitek significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mitek Systems assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share 0.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Mitek Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mitek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mitek Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mitek Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mitek Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mitek Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mitek Systems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mitek Systems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mitek Systems' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.