Ag Mortgage Investment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MITT Stock  USD 6.87  0.11  1.63%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding AG Mortgage Investment is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AG Mortgage Investment given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AG Mortgage Investment, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out AG Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MITT and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AG Mortgage Investment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute AG Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

The MITT recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AG Mortgage Investment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AG Mortgage Investment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AG Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AG MortgageBuy AG Mortgage
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon AG Mortgage Investment has a Mean Deviation of 1.21, Standard Deviation of 1.55 and Variance of 2.41
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on AG Mortgage Investment. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this moment. To make sure AG Mortgage Investment is not overpriced, please confirm all AG Mortgage Investment fundamentals, including its debt to equity, working capital, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that AG Mortgage Investment has a price to earning of 3.12 X, we suggest you to validate AG Mortgage market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself this quarter and beyond given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AG Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AG Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AG Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
On 31st of January 2025 AG Mortgage paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders

AG Mortgage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AG Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AG Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AG Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AG Mortgage Investment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AG Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AG Mortgage.
Mean Return
-0.03
Value At Risk
-2.45
Potential Upside
2.07
Standard Deviation
1.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AG Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MITT Stock Institutional Investors

The AG Mortgage's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase AG Mortgage's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Alphacentric Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
208.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
198.1 K
Wolverine Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
186 K
Janney Montgomery Scott Llc2024-09-30
169.3 K
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-09-30
162.9 K
Jacobs Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
159.4 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
143.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
142.4 K
Pale Fire Capital Se2024-09-30
133.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Note, although AG Mortgage's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AG Mortgage Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(63.1M)37.9M(1.4M)26.8M24.1M22.9M
Free Cash Flow4.2M26.3M22.5M28.1M25.3M48.2M
Depreciation(5.2M)6.1M5.5M8.9M8.0M8.9M
Other Non Cash Items429.9M(72.6M)68.7M(28.2M)(32.4M)(30.8M)
Dividends Paid35.3M29.6M37.8M35.8M32.2M45.0M
Net Income(421.6M)104.2M(53.1M)53.8M48.4M50.8M
End Period Cash Flow62.3M100.2M98.8M125.6M144.4M88.6M
Investments527.7M462.9M(1.5B)(470.3M)(423.3M)(402.1M)
Net Borrowings47.6B14.8B20.3B1.5B1.4B1.3B
Change To Netincome(31.7M)8.7M306K74.5M85.7M90.0M

AG Mortgage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AG Mortgage or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AG Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MITT stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

AG Mortgage Volatility Alert

AG Mortgage Investment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of 0.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AG Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AG Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AG Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AG Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AG Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AG Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AG Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AG Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AG Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AG Mortgage to competition
FundamentalsAG MortgagePeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.013-0.14
Profit Margin0.95 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.84 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.88 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions37.31 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted402.63 K4.71 M
Price To Earning3.12 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.51 X11.42 X
Revenue63.66 M9.43 B
Gross Profit69 M27.38 B
EBITDA248.56 M3.9 B
Net Income53.78 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents92.54 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.56 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations28.13 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.38 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(6.53) X4.89 X
Target Price15.71
Beta2.07-0.15
Market Capitalization202.73 M19.03 B
Total Asset6.13 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(516.11 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.94 B)1.48 B
Current Asset132.33 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Jozoff Matthew of 2985 shares of AG Mortgage subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

AG Mortgage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MITT . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AG Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AG Mortgage Investment? Buying financial instruments such as MITT Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for MITT Stock Analysis

When running AG Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure AG Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AG Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of AG Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AG Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AG Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AG Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.