Modine Manufacturing Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOD Stock  USD 143.22  2.73  1.94%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Modine Manufacturing is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Modine Manufacturing buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MOD positions.
  
Check out Modine Manufacturing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Modine and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Modine Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Modine Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice

The Modine recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Modine Manufacturing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Modine Manufacturing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Modine Manufacturing's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Modine ManufacturingBuy Modine Manufacturing
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Modine Manufacturing has a Mean Deviation of 2.94, Semi Deviation of 3.48, Standard Deviation of 4.06, Variance of 16.48, Downside Variance of 14.32 and Semi Variance of 12.09
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Modine Manufacturing to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Modine Manufacturing. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Modine Manufacturing is not overpriced, please verify all Modine Manufacturing fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Modine Manufacturing has a price to earning of 9.24 X, we recommend you to check Modine Manufacturing market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Modine Manufacturing Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Modine Manufacturing had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Modine Manufacturing has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Modine Manufacturing Company is a Trending Stock

Modine Manufacturing Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Modine Manufacturing's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Modine Manufacturing daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Modine Manufacturing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Modine Manufacturing returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Modine Manufacturing.
Mean Return
0.44
Value At Risk
-5.59
Potential Upside
7.69
Standard Deviation
4.06
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Modine Manufacturing historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Modine Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32024-09-30
M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
944.2 K
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-09-30
787.2 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
748.9 K
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
720.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Note, although Modine Manufacturing's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Modine Manufacturing Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(12M)(5M)(70.7M)(49.4M)(17.3M)(16.4M)
Change In Cash29.1M(25.2M)(700K)21.8M(6.9M)(6.6M)
Free Cash Flow(13.4M)117.1M(28.8M)56.8M126.1M132.4M
Depreciation77.1M68.6M54.8M54.5M56.1M59.1M
Other Non Cash Items13.4M173.1M(46M)4.8M4M3.8M
Capital Expenditures71.3M32.7M40.3M50.7M88.5M67.6M
Net Income(2M)(209.5M)86.3M153.6M161.5M169.6M
End Period Cash Flow71.3M46.1M45.4M67.2M60.3M48.8M
Change To Netincome21M248.5M(44.1M)(48.2M)(55.4M)(52.7M)
Investments800K(200K)(5M)(50.4M)(283.4M)(269.2M)
Change Receivables36.6M(17.1M)(55.6M)(40.7M)(36.6M)(34.8M)
Net Borrowings40.1M(147.3M)40.6M(26.7M)(24.0M)(22.8M)

Modine Manufacturing Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Modine Manufacturing or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Modine Manufacturing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Modine stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.20
σ
Overall volatility
4.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Modine Manufacturing Volatility Alert

Modine Manufacturing shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Modine Manufacturing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Modine Manufacturing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Modine Manufacturing Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Modine Manufacturing's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Modine Manufacturing's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Modine Manufacturing and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Modine Manufacturing or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Modine Manufacturing's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Modine Manufacturing by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Modine Manufacturing to competition
FundamentalsModine ManufacturingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.21-0.31
Return On Asset0.0984-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.85 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding52.5 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.41 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.43 M4.71 M
Price To Earning9.24 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.03 X11.42 X
Revenue2.41 B9.43 B
Gross Profit309.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA306.8 M3.9 B
Net Income161.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents67.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.13 X5.01 X
Total Debt509 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.99 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.58 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share16.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations214.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.04 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.19 X4.89 X
Target Price148.0
Number Of Employees11 K18.84 K
Beta2.25-0.15
Market Capitalization7.52 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.85 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings659 M9.33 B
Working Capital348.2 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 7394 shares by Eric McGinnis of Modine Manufacturing at 127.6982 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Modine Manufacturing Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Modine . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Modine Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Modine Manufacturing? Buying financial instruments such as Modine Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Modine Manufacturing in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Conservative Funds Thematic Idea Now

Conservative Funds
Conservative Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest using buy-and-hold investment strategy in companies with consistent growth over many years of operation. The Conservative Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Conservative Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Modine Manufacturing is a strong investment it is important to analyze Modine Manufacturing's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Modine Manufacturing's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Modine Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Modine Manufacturing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Modine Manufacturing. If investors know Modine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Modine Manufacturing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Earnings Share
3.04
Revenue Per Share
47.367
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
0.0984
The market value of Modine Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Modine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Modine Manufacturing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Modine Manufacturing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Modine Manufacturing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Modine Manufacturing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Modine Manufacturing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Modine Manufacturing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Modine Manufacturing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.